4 best NFL plays for Saturday

1) Tommy Tremble — Best play: Over 4.5 receptions

• Why this is the strongest single play from Tremble

  • He’s listed as the expected TE1 for Carolina, not a backup, so his target floor is real.

  • In the screenshot, his recent usage and role indicators show a steady slot in the offense; TE1s in these spots often get a handful of shorter, safer catches.

  • Tampa Bay’s matchup context is weak vs TEs in general this season, and Carolina has had injuries affecting personnel. The Panthers’ official Week 18 injury report shows depth issues and players ruled out heading into the Tampa Bay game, which can shift more work to main pass‑catchers like a TE1. Carolina Panthers

  • A reception total around 4–5 is realistic for TE1 against a defense that has struggled or has roster gaps, making 4.5 receptions a sharp target line on a safer, volume‑based stat.

Play:

• Tommy Tremble Over 4.5 receptions

• Lower‑variance than yards or TDs; not dependent on one big play.

2) AJ Barner — Best play: Over 4.5 receptions

• Why this is the best play for Barner

  • He’s shown as an expected starter at TE1 for Seattle, so again a primary tight end look.

  • The screenshot shows solid target profile and usage in recent games—while Tampa Bay or San Francisco-related matchup context can vary, the TE1 status plus steady targets is the defining feature.

  • TE targets are safer counting stats that can land even in conservative games, especially when the TE1 has consistently been involved over multiple weeks.

  • A 4–5 catch mark is within reach for a TE1 with modest but reliable target share, making Over 4.5 receptions a smart, repeatable play.

Play:

• AJ Barner Over 4.5 receptions

3) Bucky Irving — Best play: Over 70 rushing yards

• Why this is the best play for Irving

  • Irving is shown as the expected starter at RB1 for Tampa Bay, and his usage has been high across recent games: heavy snaps and strong workload are indicated.

  • The matchup vs Carolina is desirable for a workhorse RB: Carolina’s defense has been noted for weak run performance and overall vulnerability, giving more chances for volume.

  • His profile shows consistent rush attempts and yards in prior weeks; his efficiency and snap share suggest a reliable rushing total.

  • Instead of chasing a touchdown or receptions—both more volatile—rushing yards for a workhorse RB is a cleaner, role‑based stat that often hits with steady carries.

Play:

• Bucky Irving Over 70 rushing yards

• Volume‑first RB play, less reliant on game script extremes.

(If a more specific line is available, like 75 or 80, lean slightly based on the exact board, but keep the focus on rushing yards.)

4) Mike Evans — Best play: Over 5.5 receptions

• Why this is the best play for Evans

  • Evans is a proven every‑down WR1 for Tampa Bay with strong target history and a high ceiling; the screenshot indicates robust target involvement and consistent role.

  • Opponent profile is favorable: Carolina’s coverage and overall defense have struggled at times, and Evans’ skill set is well‑suited to exploit secondary weaknesses.

  • He’s less dependent on a single big play than a long‑yard TD; reception totals give steady probability of hitting if the QB looks his way multiple times.

  • TE or RB plays can have bottlenecks; Evans’ role tends to be top priority in the pass game. 5–6 catches is realistic in a medium‑to‑high pass volume environment.

Play:

• Mike Evans Over 5.5 receptions