Lauri Markkanen over 36.5 P+R+A vs. Mavericks (-120)
The Jazz are 9-point favorites in this game with the Mavericks down Luka Doncic and everyone traded for Kyrie Irving. Markkanen's stats are strongly correlated with outcome and location. His true shooting percentage is exactly 5% higher at home, and he sees increases of +5.1 PPG, +1.3 RPG and +0.9 APG in victories. His recent play has been encouraging as well. December 19 was the last time Markkanen scored fewer than 20 points, and since then, he's averaging 28.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.1 assists. DeMar DeRozan Over 0.5 Threes (+120) vs. Spurs DeRozan isn't known as a prolific three-point shooter, but he's shot 61.5 percent from beyond the arc while attempting 3.3 three-pointers per game across his last four appearances. The Spurs will be without several key contributors during Monday's matchup, and I like the odds for DeRozan to make at least one three given his recent success from long range.
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