NBA Player Props – 76ers vs. Nets, April 20, 2023
Joel Embiid o29.5 points (-120), FanDuel
In Game 1 of this series, Joel Embiid had 26 points on only 15 field goal attempts in a blowout win. In Game 2, Embiid took only 11 shots but still scored 20 points. Tonight, the Philadelphia 76ers will play their first road game of the series, which should require more offensive assertiveness from their leading scorer. During the regular season, Embiid led the NBA in scoring, averaging 33.1 points per game. In 30 road contests, Embiid averaged 32.3 points on 19.7 field goal attempts. Expect him to be aggressive this evening, which should give him every opportunity to get the over in this spot.
Royce O’Neale o4.5 rebounds (-120), DraftKings
In the series opener, Royce O’Neale had only three rebounds. However, O’Neale had a much stronger performance on the glass in Game 2, securing six rebounds on nine rebound chances. Tonight, the Brooklyn Nets will play their first home game of the series, which should give this defense an opportunity to collect even more rebounds if Philadelphia’s shooting percentages suffer at all. Expect O’Neale to be the beneficiary of those extra rebound chances – take the over.
NBA DFS Pick’em
Tobias Harris less than 14.5 points, PrizePicks
During the regular season, Tobias Harris averaged 15.1 points per game on 50.8% shooting from the floor in 37 home games. On the road, Harris averaged only 14.2 points per game on 49.3% shooting from the field. Harris’ three-point percentage was 40.1% at home, compared to 37.5% on the road. According to props.cash, Harris eclipsed this market number in only 18 of 37 games played this season when playing away from home. Expect him to struggle with his efficiency on Thursday night, which should result in a lower-scoring output from him.
NBA Player Props – Kings vs. Warriors, April 20, 2023
Stephen Curry o29.5 points (-135), DraftKings
In Game 1, Stephen Curry had 30 points on 20 field goal attempts. In Game 2, Curry had 28 points on 21 field goal attempts, with his efficiency suffering against a Sacramento Kings defense that made life tough for him on the perimeter. Coming home for Game 3, Curry is trailing 0-2 in a playoff series for the first time in his Hall of Fame caliber career. As the team’s leading scorer, he will unquestionably be entrusted with an enormous workload this evening in an effort to save their season. Take the over here.
Klay Thompson o23.5 points (-104), FanDuel
Klay Thompson had 21 points in each of the first two games of this series, but he could be in for a much more impressive final line on Thursday in Game 3. At home this year, Thompson averaged 24.4 points per game on 44.7% shooting from the floor and 42.4% shooting from beyond the arc. These numbers were in stark contrast to his 19.2 points per game on the road, 42.3% shooting from floor, and 39.6% shooting from the perimeter. Playing in the comfort of his home building against a Sacramento defense that struggles mightily to defend the three-point line, expect Thompson to have a big night with the season on the line.
NBA DFS Pick’em
Domantas Sabonis more than 19.5 points, PrizePicks
Domantas Sabonis had only 12 points in the series opener against the Golden State Warriors, but he bounced back with a 24-point performance in Game 2. Tonight, he will get to face a Golden State defense that will be missing their anchor – Draymond Green. In the absence of Green, expect Sabonis to be aggressive around the rim and efficient with his opportunities. It would not be surprising in the slightest if Sabonis easily surpassed 20 points in this spot. Sabonis averaged 19.1 points per game on the road this year. A favorable matchup on Thursday should help him eclipse that number by at least one.