The changingDFSandfantasy footballlandscape is shifting toward single-game contests. At DraftKings, the biggest is their Showdown Captain Mode format. The format blends the ease of focusing on a single game with the ability to differentiate yourself from the competition by choosing a total of six players.
In such a tight game with at least a reasonable amount of scoring, we have seen a continued trend with the 2-4 build (2 players from the winning team, 4 players from the losing team) taking up a huge amount of the top lineups. For historically similar games to tonight, a whopping 70% of the top lineups have been 2-4 construction. That’s massive. Then, about 25% of the top lineups have been a 3-3, which has been over-owned by the field. But, between those 2 builds, that’s nearly 96% of top lineups. 5-1 and 1-5 have been non-existent, and the 2-4 has been one of the largest leverage points we’ve seen in a construction so far this year.
As is nearly always the case, the projections don’t favor Derrick Henry relative to his expected ownership. Henry is always capable of breaking the slate, but in a PPR format, the numbers see more value with pass-catchers.
A non-dominant Colts receiver group looks to have slight leverage and should be rostered to take advantage of lower ownership levels.