🖐️ Fontaine’s 5 — Today’s Card

Low-Scoring Grinds 🤝 Buckets & Boards

We’re mixing Monday Night Football grit with NBA prop season today. This card is all about trusting the numbers, leaning into game scripts, and letting volume do the heavy lifting.

Let’s cook 🍳👇

🏈 NFL: Dolphins vs. Steelers

Ugly game. Physical game. Our kind of game.

When I dug into this matchup, one thing jumped off the page:Miami is quietly hot. Four straight wins, and the defense has allowed 10, 17, 13, and 13 points in that stretch. That’s elite-level work flying way under the radar.

I’m still not fully sold on the Dolphins overall — but I’m less sold on Pittsburgh, especially without T.J. Watt. And when you factor in a healthy De’Von Achane, this game screams grind-it-out football.

📉 Game Script

• Slower pace

• Heavy rushing volume

• Short fields

• Clock bleeding all night

Exactly how we want it.

🧠 NFL Best Bets

✅ Dolphins vs. Steelers UNDER 42.5This total checks every box:

• UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6

• UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6

• UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 at home

• Two teams ranked bottom-10 in total yardage

This isn’t a fireworks show. It’s trench warfare.

✅ De’Von Achane ANYTIME TDThis is the smash spot.

• Achane is a full go

• Miami wants to keep Tua clean

• Red-zone touches spike in cold, low-total games

If Miami scores, there’s a strong chance Achane is involved.

✅ De’Von Achane OVER 16.5 Rushing AttemptsLow total + no Watt = ground game emphasis.Miami isn’t trying to get cute here — they’re trying to win.

🏀 NBA: Best Bets Today

Volume. Matchups. Opportunity.

Let’s roll through the slate 👇

🔥 P.J. Washington OVER 15.5 Points (-110)

at Utah Jazz

Utah’s defense has completely fallen apart:

• 127.2 points allowed per 48 over the last 10

• Bottom-5 vs spot-up scoring

• Bottom-5 vs transition buckets

That’s exactly where Washington eats. If this game has any pace, 16+ is very gettable.

🎯 Duncan Robinson OVER 2.5 Made Threes (-137)

at Boston Celtics

We’re not overthinking this:

• 3+ threes in 17 of 23 games

• At least 6 attempts in 14 straight

• Boston allowing the most 3PA recently

This is one of the cleanest NBA props on the board.

🧩 Kawhi Leonard OVER 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)

vs Memphis Grizzlies

Everything lines up:

• Extra rest

• Potentially no James Harden

• Increased playmaking load

• Memphis matchup already cashed this once

Quiet stat-sheet stuff that adds up fast.

🏀 Lauri Markkanen OVER 7.5 Rebounds (+112)

vs Dallas Mavericks

This is a sneaky plus-money spot:

• No Jusuf Nurkić

• Weak rebounding replacements

• Markkanen averaging 8.2 boards over his last six

• Better rebounder at home

We’ll gladly take the plus money.

🧾 Fontaine’s 5 Card Summary

NFL

• Dolphins/Steelers UNDER 42.5

• De’Von Achane Anytime TD

• Achane OVER 16.5 rushing attempts

NBA

• P.J. Washington OVER 15.5 points

• Duncan Robinson OVER 2.5 threes

• Kawhi Leonard OVER 9.5 REB+AST

• Lauri Markkanen OVER 7.5 rebounds

🔒 Final Thought

This isn’t a flashy card — it’s a smart one.Low totals. High volume. Repetition over randomness.

You don’t win if you don’t lock 🔐— Fontaine’s 5