Fontaine's 5 Top MLB Picks for July 22nd
Welcome to Fontaine's 5, where we bring you the best MLB picks for today. Let’s dive right into the top plays and why they’re the ones to watch.
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
This matchup is all about the trends in Seattle with their pitching and weak hitting. The Mariners are 20-10 to the UNDER in their last 30 games, and 5 out of their last 6 games have gone UNDER. The UNDER is 10-1 in Logan Gilbert's last 11 home starts. Gilbert pitched 7 scoreless innings against the Angels on July 14th, and José Soriano allowed just 1 run in 6 innings against the Mariners on July 13th. So, we have some recent strong history with both pitchers.
Everything lines up for a low-scoring game between Gilbert, José Soriano, and the weak offenses on both sides, plus we get a great pitcher's park.
MLB Picks for Angels at Mariners:
Angels/Mariners UNDER 7.0 runs for 1.5 units (BetRivers -103)
Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies
The Red Sox bullpen is in shambles and depleted with no Kenley Jansen, Chris Martin, and Justin Slaten. Boston's bullpen ranks dead last in FIP and xFIP over the last 7 days. Both teams also went to extra innings last night in a 9-8 12-inning game, and Boston has gone OVER in 3 straight.
This is also a matchup of two of the worst pitchers in both rotations with Cooper Criswell against Ty Blach. Both pitchers won't be long in this game, and it will end up in the bullpens again.
The total has gone OVER in 6 out of the last 7 games in Coors Field for the series, and the OVER has hit in 10 out of 13 overall between both teams.
MLB Picks for Red Sox at Rockies:
Red Sox/Rockies OVER 11.0 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -105)
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
This looks to be the theme of the day with strong pitching matchups. Garrett Crochet has been one of the best first 5 innings (F5) pitchers because the White Sox bullpen is so bad. Jon Gray has been terrible in his last six starts with an 8.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.
The F5 total of three runs was just too low for me to consider, even though there are some heavy trends leaning towards a very low-scoring game. The White Sox have gone UNDER in 8 out of their last 9 games.
MLB Picks for White Sox at Rangers:
White Sox F5 ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Anytime Paul Skenes is on the mound, you have to find a way to make money. The Pirates are -180 favorites which takes that out of play, and I cannot lay -1.5 runs when 5 out of his last 6 starts have gone under. The Pirates offense is not very good, and Skenes should be able to rack up at least 8 strikeouts and keep runs at a premium. The total runs in his last 6 starts have been 1, 16, 3, 4, 5, and 3 with 7.5 totals.
MLB Picks for Cardinals at Pirates:
Cardinals/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -105)
MLB Best Bets Today Recap
Angels/Mariners UNDER 7.0 runs for 1.5 units (BetRivers -103)
Red Sox/Rockies OVER 11.0 runs for 1.5 units (BetMGM -105)
White Sox F5 ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
Cardinals/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -105)
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