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Fontaines 5 💰 SHARP + CLEAN NFL Saturday

Sometimes the easiest reads are the ones people overthink.

Today is one of those days.


We’ve got two NFL favorites that the public tried to get cute fading the last time they were in this spot — and both favorites cashed. Same setup. Same noise. Same result loading.

On top of that, we’ve got a veteran WR chasing history, and I’m not asking him to do anything crazy… just half the workload.

Let’s get to it.

🔒 Pick 1: Los Angeles Chargers — Moneyline

The public loves fading the Chargers because it feels sharp. But every time this team is written off in a bounce-back or “must-show” spot, they respond.

This matchup sets up perfectly:

  • Controlled game script

  • Advantage at QB

  • Home-field rhythm

Last time the public faded this exact type of Chargers spot?They lost.

Fontaine’s Take: We’re not betting vibes — we’re betting patterns. Chargers handle business.

🔒 Pick 2: Green Bay Packers — Moneyline

This one is even simpler.

Green Bay at home in a high-profile spot is where the public starts talking themselves into the other side. They see the opponent. They see the name. They forget the environment.

Cold. Loud. Physical.

The last time the Packers were faded by the public in this role?Public got smoked.

Fontaine’s Take: Home favorites in Green Bay are not the team you get cute against.

🎯 Pick 3: Keenan Allen 3+ Receptions

This is the fun one.

Keenan Allen needs 7 catches to hit a $250,000 incentive. That’s the headline everyone is betting into.

I’m not.

Instead of asking for the full workload, we’re taking less than half.

3 catches.That’s it.

If you think:

  • He’s not getting targeted early

  • He’s not involved at all

  • Or he’s going to disappear while chasing money

…then we’re watching different football.

Fontaine’s Take: Incentive games don’t mean hero ball. They mean easy touches early.



 
 
 

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