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Fontaines5's Top Touchdown Picks and Player Props for Week 1

1. Bijan Robinson, ATL (+119 Caesars)Fontaines5 sees big potential for Robinson in Atlanta. With his talent and pedigree, he's expected to carry a heavy workload from the get-go. Robinson's ability to catch passes out of the backfield adds to his touchdown potential. Plus, Atlanta boasts one of the league's best offensive lines. With Desmond Ridder at quarterback, expect a run-heavy approach. If you like this line, consider grabbing it sooner rather than later, as it's -135 in other places. Fontaines5 also likes Robinson's odds for 2+ touchdowns, which are +600 on DraftKings (only +470 elsewhere).


2. Rhamondre Stevenson, NE (+135 DraftKings)

Despite the Patriots receiving only four points at home against the Eagles, Fontaines5 acknowledges the coaching prowess of Bill Belichick. Stevenson is expected to be the focal point of the Patriots' offense, likely getting plenty of work, including goal-line carries. Stevenson's ability to catch passes out of the backfield adds another dimension. The risk here is Ezekiel Elliott vulturing goal-line work, but Fontaines5 believes Stevenson's workload will outweigh the risk.


3. Joshua Palmer, LAC (+350 DraftKings)

Fontaines5 is keeping an eye on Palmer, especially since reports suggest he's ahead of rookie Quentin Johnston on the depth chart, at least for now. Palmer, at just 23 years old, is entering his third season in Los Angeles, making him familiar with the offense and quarterback Justin Herbert. This game is expected to be high-scoring, and with Miami's Jalen Ramsey absent from the secondary, Palmer could find himself with opportunities for big plays.


4. Luke Musgrave, GB (+390 FanDuel)

Fontaines5 is leaning toward Musgrave in this game. With Christian Watson sidelined, there should be room over the middle for Musgrave to operate. While Jordan Love lacks extensive real-game experience, he's likely to rely on safer, shorter patterns, which tight ends often run.



Player Props:

5. Elijah Moore, CLE OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-130 DraftKings)

Fontaines5 anticipates the Browns utilizing Moore effectively in their offense. He's expected to be involved in various ways, and some sites even lack a line for Moore, suggesting uncertainty about his yardage. Fontaines5 believes this prop could be over by halftime, so consider higher yardage props if available.


6. Van Jefferson, LAR Over 3.5 Receptions (+135 DraftKings)

With Cooper Kupp on IR, Jefferson becomes the top wideout for the Rams. Fontaines5 expects him to receive at least eight targets in this matchup, with a strong connection to Matthew Stafford. In previous games, Jefferson demonstrated the ability to catch multiple passes. In a game where he could see 5-6 catches, Fontaines5 likes the plus-odds.


7. Alexander Mattison, MIN OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards (+102 FanDuel)

Fontaines5 sees Mattison as the primary running back in Minnesota, with little competition for carries. He's built to handle a full workload and might be used more in the passing game with Dalvin Cook's departure. As a home favorite, the game flow suggests Mattison will get plenty of work. This prop offers slightly more rushing yards than other sites for a similar price.


8. Sam Howell, WAS OVER 207.5 Passing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

Fontaines5 considers this prop a good value. With Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson as weapons, Fontaines5 expects Howell to exceed the 207.5 passing yard mark. The Arizona Cardinals, on paper, appear as one of the weaker teams in the league, and they have to travel across the country for their first game. Fontaines5 believes this number is too low for Howell, given the quality of his receivers

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