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Free NBA Picks Today: Best Bets for Thursday, May 9

Best Bets

Josh Green over 1.5 made threes (+200) at Thunder

BetMGM, 3:21 PM CT

Green launched eight threes in Game 1 -- all of which were classified as "wide open" -- hitting three. He's been relatively unreliable throughout the postseason, but if he's going to launch open threes at this volume, I'll bet on them to start falling.

Kyrie Irving O23.5 points at Thunder (-130)

DraftKings Sportsbook, 2pm CT

While the Mavs struggled as a team offensively in Game 1, Irving, himself, didn't necessarily have a poor game – he was simply quiet, taking only 14 shots in a game that was competitive well into the fourth quarter. The Mavs will need Irving to up his volume in Game 2, and I expect both he and Luka Doncic to come out with more urgency and limit the early turnovers that hamstrung the Mavs in Game 1.

Daniel Gafford double-double at Thunder (+260)

DraftKings Sportsbook, 2pm CT

This is +260 for a reason, but Gafford was one of the lone bright spots for the Mavs in Game 1, so I'd be surprised if they go away from him. The big man gradually worked his way into a larger role in Round 1 against the Clips, and the Mavs were just minus-2 in Gafford's 27 minutes in Tuesday's Game 1 – by far the best plus/minus of any Dallas starter. In the 29 games this season in which Gafford has played at least 27 minutes, he's averaging 13.0 points and 10.2 boards per game. At +260, and against an OKC team that ranked 31st in DREB% during the regular season, it's a risk I'm willing to take.


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