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MLB Best Bets and Expert Picks for Tuesday, June 18

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays  

The Red Sox are 5-0 in Tanner Houck's last five starts and he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. There is a chance he could start for the American League in the All-Star Game (Tarik Skubal is the other possibility). Chris Bassitt has been decent in his last five outings with a stat line of 30 innings, 1.20 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and zero home runs allowed. 

The Red Sox have been starting to hit recently, but I will go with a full game under with these two starting pitchers. 

MLB Picks for Red Sox at Blue Jays 

  • Red Sox ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -115)

  • Red Sox/Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (BetRivers -105)  


St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins  

This Marlins team is one of the worst in baseball along with the White Sox and Rockies. They are averaging just 2.2 runs per game in June while going 2-12. The scary number is the 26.5 strikeout rate to a 4.4 percent walk rate along with a .211 batting average. They have scored 3.0 runs or less in 10 out of those 14 games.

Lance Lynn has been decent this year, but his walk rate probably will not be an issue against this Marlins lineup. He has much better numbers on the road and gets a nice ballpark split going into Miami.

The Cardinals are playing better baseball and the Marlins really have nothing to play for right now. 

MLB Picks for Cardinals at Marlins 

  • Marlins UNDER 3.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -130)

  • Cardinals -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +112)


Kansas City Royals at Oakland Athletics  

Normally the Royals are a must play at home, but they also crush lefties and they get Hogan Harris tonight. The Royals have cooled off somewhat, going 7-13 in their last 20, but the A's are sinking fast, going 1-9, 4-16, and 7-23 in their last 10/20/30 games. 

The Royals have a 103 wRC+ against lefties, but they are second lowest in strikeout rate and fourth highest in batting average. They will be batting eight right-handed batters against Harris, who has pitched well this year, but in limited innings. 

Alec Marsh pitched a gem in his last start against the Yankees, whereas in his prior three starts he has been struggling, but the Yankee start means a lot as they are the hottest lineup in baseball.

MLB Picks for Royals at Athletics 

  • Royals ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -135)

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals  

Both teams have about the same record at just under .500 ball, but the pitching matchup is much more in favor of the Nationals with Jake Irvin against Slade Cecconi. Irvin is 5-5 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and Cecconi has a 6.75 ERA with eight home runs allowed in the last seven starts.

Cecconi gives up way too much hard contact for Irvin to only be -115 at home. Give me the Nats on the moneyline. 

MLB Picks for Diamondbacks at Nationals

  • Nationals ML for 1.5 unit (DraftKings -115)

MLB Best Bets Today Recap

  • Red Sox ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -115)

  • Red Sox/Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (BetRivers -105) 

  • Marlins UNDER 3.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -130)

  • Cardinals -1.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +112)

  • Royals ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -135)

  • Nationals ML for 1.5 unit (DraftKings -115)

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