Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
The Angels are not a very good team, but they are good at hitting against left-handed pitching. They lit up Framber Valdez for eight runs and 10 hits on May 20. They are fourth best with a 136 wRC+ against lefties in the last 30 days.
One thing to remember is that oddsmakers do not look at splits like this when they are setting lines. The Angels average 4.06 runs per game and 55 percent is 2.2 – five innings/nine innings – which is against all pitchers. If you consider the huge edge they have against left-handed pitchers, 1.5 is a low number.
MLB Picks for Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
Angels OVER 1.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -125)
Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
I would never take the White Sox in any situation despite what Steve Stone said, but this is Garrett Crochet who is one of the best lefties in baseball. The Red Sox cannot hit lefties to save their lives and last time out Max Fried put up 13 strikeouts against them.
Much like it was with Fried, the Red Sox are perfect strikeout-ladder candidates against left-handed pitchers and Crochet is one of the best.
MLB Picks for Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox
Garrett Crochet 8+ strikeouts for 1 unit (FanDuel -110)
Crochet 9+ strikeouts for 0.5 unit (FanDuel +182)
Crochet 10+ strikeouts for 0.25 unit (FanDuel +340)
Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins
This line confuses me as both Logan Allen and Ryan Weathers are not good pitchers, plus they are both left-handed. While the Guardians are 12-3 against LHP, the Marlins are just 2-19 against them. With the Guardians slight favorites on the road, I will take the better team despite a bad starting pitcher.
MLB Picks for Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins
Guardians ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -112)
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
I am not a fan of taking the Rays OVER 4.5 runs but, if you look at their home/road and righty/lefty splits, they CRUSH lefties at home to the tune of 151 wRC+ in the last 30 days. While the sample size is not huge (80 at-bats), they have been at 130 since the season started, which is good for fourth in baseball.
MLB Picks for Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays
Rays OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +125)
MLB Best Bets Today Recap
Angels OVER 1.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -125)
Garrett Crochet 8+ strikeouts for 1 unit (FanDuel -110)
Crochet 9+ strikeouts for 0.5 unit (FanDuel +182)
Crochet 10+ strikeouts for 0.25 unit (FanDuel +340)
Guardians ML for 1 unit (DraftKings -112)
Rays OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +125)
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