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MLB Bets Tonight: Expert MLB Picks and Props for Tuesday, May 16

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets


The Rays have been impressive with a 31-11 record, but they've had a bit of a rough patch lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games. On the road, they're 12-8, which is still solid but not as dominant.

⚾️ Justin Verlander has been a force on the mound, boasting a 1.42 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in his two starts this year, covering 12 innings. With Citi Field historically favoring pitchers, this could work in Verlander's favor.

🔒 Meanwhile, the Mets' offense has been struggling, scoring just 34 runs in their last 12 games, averaging a modest 2.8 runs per game.

🏟️ Looking at the Rays' road numbers, their pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.34 WHIP away from home, compared to an impressive 2.52 ERA and 1.00 WHIP at home. This suggests that their performance may not be as strong in this away game.

⚠️ All these factors point to a potentially challenging matchup for the Rays, especially with Jalen Beeks/Yonny Chirinos projected as the starting combo. The odds seem to be stacked against them in this game. #MLB #RaysvsMets #PitchersPark #Verlander #StrugglingOffense"

MLB Best Bets for Rays at Mets

  • Mets/Rays UNDER 8.5 runs for 2 units (BetMGM +105)

  • Mets ML for 1.55 units (DraftKings -155)


Arizona Diamondbacks at Oakland Athletics

This game has the biggest line move on a total on the slate with it opening 8.5 and moving to 9.0-10.0 depending on the book. While the A's offense is putrid, they do fare well against left-handed pitchers. The combined ERA of both starters (Tommy Henry vs. Kyle Muller) in this game is 11.77.

Muller has allowed at least four earned runs in five out of eight starts.

MLB Best Bets for Diamondbacks at Athletics

  • Dbacks/Athletics OVER 9.0 runs for 2.4 units (BetMGM -120)

  • Kyle Muller OVER 2.5 earned runs allowed for 2.6 units (DraftKings -130)


Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox are scuffling going 1-6 in their last 7, after getting swept by the Cardinals at home with 2 blown saves by Kenley Jansen and a 10-1 loss to these Mariners last night. Now we get an extreme difference in starting pitchers with Luis Castillo vs. Nick Pivetta. Castillo has a 2.70 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 52/9 K/BB while Pivetta has a 6.23 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 36/15 K/BB.

MLB Best Bets for Mariners at Red Sox

  • Mariners -1.5 runs for 2 units (DraftKings -100)


Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox

I immediately looked at Shane Bieber -120 vs. Lance Lynn and thought it was very low. When you compare both starting pitchers, I would put this line closer to Guardians -150 to -160.

Bieber has a 2.61 ERA in 51.2 innings with a 1.10 WHIP, while Lynn has the worst ERA among all qualified pitchers at 7.51 and a 1.60 WHIP which is the sixth worst. Lynn has allowed over 2.5 earned runs in seven straight starts. Jose Ramirez is batting .344 in 32 at-bats against him with four home runs. He has a base hit in 32 out of 40 games and is crushing right-handed pitching (.344 avg, .426 OBP, .500 SLG).

MLB Best Bets for Guardians at White Sox

  • Guardians ML for 2.4 units (DraftKings -120)

  • Lance Lynn over 2.5 earned runs allowed for 2 units (DraftKings +110)

  • Jose Ramirez over 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (FanDuel +100)


MLB Best Bets Today Recap

  • Mets/Rays UNDER 8.5 runs for 1.9 units (BetMGM +105)

  • Mets ML for 1.55 units (DraftKings -155)

  • Dbacks/Athletics OVER 9.0 runs for 1.8 units (BetMGM -120)

  • Kyle Muller OVER 2.5 earned runs allowed for 1.3 units (DraftKings -130)

  • Mariners -1.5 runs for 2 units (DraftKings -100)

  • Guardians ML for 1.8 units (DraftKings -120)

  • Lance Lynn over 2.5 earned runs allowed for 1.8 units (DraftKings +110)

  • Jose Ramirez over 1.5 total bases for 1 unit (FanDuel +100)

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