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MLB Picks Today: Best MLB Bets and Player Props for Monday, June 5

MLB June 5, 2023 St. Louis Cardinals game




Best Bets Today Recap

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs

Houston Astros over 4.5 Runs





St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline (+120)

The St. Louis Cardinals have been a colossal disappointment in the eyes of many baseball fans in 2023, but they are still more than capable of doing damage against left-handed pitching, against which they rank 5th in OPS and 3rd in ISO since May 15. Though Adam Wainwright has been uninspiring through his first five turns in the rotation, this game should be priced closer to a pick’em, creating value on the road underdogs here as part of this parlay.

Paul Goldschmidt 3+ Total Bases (+175)

Paul Goldschmidt came up empty against southpaw Rich Hill in yesterday morning’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, but he has another great opportunity to damage against left-hander, Martin Perez on Monday night. On the season, Perez owns a 5.21 FIP, 1.47 WHIP, and a .290 opponent batting average against right-handed hitters. Goldschmidt owns a .310 batting average and a 124 wRC+ against southpaws. Expect a big night from the St. Louis first baseman.


Corey Seager 3+ total bases (+210)

Corey Seager has been a nightmare for opposing pitchers this season. Entering play on Monday, Seager owns a .352 batting average, 1.076 OPS, and a 193 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in 2023. Tonight, he gets to face Adam Wainwright, who has allowed a .400 opponent batting average against left-handed hitters in 2023. Seager could have a truly massive night at the dish to begin the new week.


MLB Picks Today: Best MLB Bets and Player Props for Monday, June 5


Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (-120 DraftKings)

This seems like a lopsided matchup to me with Joey Wentz (7.28 ERA) taking on Aaron Nola on the road. While Nola has an unfavorable 4.70 ERA himself, his 1.13 WHIP suggests he's been a bit unlucky. Nola has pitched better at home this season and since 2021 and his home run problems this season shouldn't be an issue against the Tigers who have the third-lowest home runs on the road against right-handed pitching. The Phillies bats should do their job against Wentz as they had a .335 wOBA against southpaws last season, the fourth-best mark in baseball.


Best Bets For Detroit Tigers at Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (-120 DraftKings)


Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros over 4.5 Runs (-120 DraftKings)

This line is 5 runs, (-102) on FanDuel and I'd rather lay the extra juice and get the win at five runs instead of having to worry about a tie. This is a complete fade of Alek Manoah who has looked terrible as of late with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.97 WHIP over the last month. He's averaged less than five innings pitches in his last seven starts meaning the Astros should get to hittable secondary pitching in the middle of the game and the Astros has a top-10 wOBA (.321) on the road this season against right-handed pitching and their 267 runs scored this season is in the top half of the league (and for runs per game too).

Best Team Props for Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros over 4.5 Runs (-120 DraftKings)


St. Louis Cardinals at Texas Rangers

Nolan Arenado 1+ RBI (+115 DraftKings)

Arenado should be in his usual cleanup spot and he comes into the game in good form with a .929 OPS over the last week. He'll get Martin Perez tonight and Arenado has always hit lefties better sporting a .940 OPS against that handedness since 2021. It doesn't hurt that Arenado has a home run against Perez in nine plate appearances and had a dinger for the Cardinals only run yesterday in Pittsburgh.

Best Player Props for St. Louis Cardinals at Texas Rangers

Nolan Arenado 1+ RBI (+115 DraftKings)



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