top of page

MLB Picks Today: MLB Bets for Tuesday, September 6

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

One of the best angles you can use in MLB betting is when you have a divisional game because of a greater sample size. Also, when you have a significant difference in park factors which we have in Fenway Park vs. Tropicana Field. The Red Sox have notoriously been a better offense at home and struggle in a pitchers' park like the Trop.

The Rays have owned the Red Sox in Tampa going 15-4 SU in their last 19 games. There is also a strong trend on the UNDER going 11-4 in the last 15. My concern here is we get a total of 7.0 and if you can find a 7.5 I would grab it but expect to lay -130 to -150.

While I am not a fan of laying -1.5 runs in a game with a total of 7, because of the huge edge the Rays have at home against the Red Sox and the motivation, I will go ahead and lay it getting PLUS money.

MLB Best Bets for Red Sox at Rays

  • Rays -1.5 for 1.0 RW buck (DraftKings +135)


Sign up at the DraftKings Sportsbook using RotoWire's DraftKings Promo Code for $200 in free bets.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

Another AL East divisional matchup with the Blue Jays at the Orioles. The season series has trended heavily on the OVER (9-2) and we have two suspect starting pitchers with Mitch White vs. Kyle Bradish. White has gotten torched over his last two starts allowing 13 earned runs over 9.2 innings. Bradish does have a 2.66 ERA over his last 7 starts but has a 5.17 ERA on the season.

I am very surprised that this total is 8.5 runs and would have expected it to be in the 9-9.5 range. Take advantage of the value on this game and go with the OVER.

MLB Best Bets for Blue Jays at Orioles

  • Blue Jays/Orioles OVER 8.5 runs for 1 RW buck (DraftKings +100)


Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals at home and OVER on their team totals (especially versus left-handed pitching) has been money over the last two months. They are on an incredible run at home which ironically was broken last night as the Nationals beat them 6-0. They had won 17 in a row as home favorites with an average score of 6-2.

With Paolo Espino on the mound for the Nationals and his 5.56 ERA over his last 7 starts, I will back the Cardinals on the run line. Jose Quintana has been serviceable with a 2.83 ERA over his last 7 starts, but only a 24 K / 14 BB line.

MLB Best Bets for Nationals at Cardinals

  • Cardinals -1.5 runs for 1.18 RW buck (FanDuel -118)

  • Cardinals OVER 4.5 runs for 1.2 RW buck (DraftKings -120)


MLB Best Bets Today Recap

  • Rays -1.5 for 1.0 RW buck (DraftKings +135)

  • Blue Jays/Orioles OVER 8.5 runs for 1 RW buck (DraftKings +100)

  • Cardinals -1.5 runs for 1.18 RW buck (FanDuel -118)

  • Cardinals OVER 4.5 runs for 1.2 RW buck (DraftKings -120)



9 views0 comments

Comments


bottom of page