MNF Fontaine’s 5 Pick5: Chiefs/Commanders

1. Travis Kelce ATD & Zach Ertz ATD — “National Tight End Day”

• Kelce + Ertz combine for thousands of receptions and the game is being pitched as a tight-end showcase.

• The Commanders’ defense has struggled with tight end production this season.

• Sharp angle: With Kelce’s red-zone usage and Ertz’s target volume, at least one of these guys is very likely to score.

2. Marcus Mariota Over 30.5 Rushing Yards

• With the Commanders’ normal QB Jayden Daniels injured, Mariota steps in and is being asked to salvage the script.

• His dual-threat nature gives him rushing upside.

• Sharp angle: If Commanders fall behind (likely vs Chiefs), Mariota will scramble, keep his legs involved and hit this line.

3. Kareem Hunt Over 18.5 Rushing Yards

• As part of the Chiefs’ run game, Hunt has a role that becomes more prominent given the spread

• Matchup: Commanders’ defense has shown vulnerability on the edge and in second-level run fits.

• Sharp angle: 18.5 yards is a low bar; his touches are likely given game flow.

4. Jeremy McNichols Over 1.5 Receptions

• McNichols is a passing game back/outlet option, and in this matchup he could find himself involved in check-downs and swing passes.

• Sharp angle: Volume may be modest but the line of 1.5 catches is reasonable — one or two quick throws clear it.

5. Chiefs Spread -10.5

• The Chiefs are significant favorites in this matchup. Early line movement confirms market confidence.

• Sharp angle: With homefield advantage + opponent QB instability, this spread is leanable.