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Monday Best Bets

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM ET

The new-look Yankees come back home after taking all 3 games against the Marlins in Miami. While the offense was lacking in those games, a lot of that was the ballpark and the lack of a DH. The Yankees are a huge home favorite at -275 with a total of 10. We had a similar situation Sunday with the Dodgers/Dbacks, which paid off huge by taking the Dodgers at plus money -1.5 in the F5. Unfortunately, the odds are not in our favor with that scenario in this game.

But I can see both teams putting up runs early in this game so we can pivot to an over on the F5 at 5.5 runs.

BET – Orioles/Yankees over 5.5 runs F5 (-115) for 1 RW buck

New York Mets at Miami Marlins 7:10 PM ET

Tylor Megill vs. TBD

The Marlins have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 3 games. Their lineup is the weakest in baseball with no Garrett Cooper, Adam Duvall, or Starling Marte. Megill has been averaging about a strikeout per inning and has gone 6 innings in 2 out of his last 3 starts. I like Megill to go about 5.5 – 6.0 innings in a very pitcher-friendly park in Miami against a very weak lineup.

I would shop around and look for a 5.5 with low or plus juice on this, but for now we will take over 4.5 on the strikeouts at -149.

BET – Megill over 4.5 strikeouts (-149) for 1 RW buck (If you can find 5.5 with low / plus juice, that is the recommended play).

BET – Megill under 2.5 earned runs (-135) for 1 RW buck

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40 PM ET

I have had good success picking on the Diamondbacks when they are in the middle of a slump and that is what we have again. The Dodgers smashed them yesterday and have owned them all season. The Giants have as well, going 9-1 against them this year and 17-3 over the last two seasons. The Giants have outscored them 75-36 (7.5 to 3.6 runs per game).

With the odds being pretty high in a lot of scenarios and DeSclafani have some struggles recently, I would rather bank on him going 6 innings which he has done in 7 out of his last 10 starts.

BET – DeSclafani over 17.5 outs (-110) for 1 RW buck

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