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NBA /WNBA Best Bets Today - Free Picks for Wednesday, May 15


PJ Washington over 2.5 threes (-125) at OKC

DraftKings, 3:47 PM CT

The Thunder are doing everything they can to lock down Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic. The duo has been limited to 36.3 PPG over the past three games. OKC has been tolerating Dallas' role players getting decent looks off. Washington is the primary example. He's 17-for-34 from distance over the past three games, with 20 of those being labeled as "wide open" per NBA.com. If someone is taking 11 threes per game and half of them are completely uncontested, I'm just going to assume they can knock down three of them.

Kyrie Irving O5.5 assists at OKC (-140)

FanDuel Sportsbook, 3pm CT

While I don't love the price, I do love the number for Kyrie, who's been facing hard double teams for much of the series. The Thunder have succeeded in limiting him as a scorer, but he's been able to find open shooters to the tune of 27 assists over his last three games. I see not reason why OKC won't continue with that same strategy tonight, and even if Irving is more aggressive in attacking those doubles, this still feels like a very reasonable assists number.

Jayson Tatum U29.5 points vs. CLE (+102)

BetRivers, 3pm CT

The pricing at other books varies from -125 to -115, but we'll take the plus money at BetRivers. This isn't necessarily a bet against Tatum – it's a bet against this being a competitive game. The Cavs will again be down Donovan Mitchell – and perhaps Jarrett Allen and Caris LeVert, as well – and while they were able to hang in with Boston in Game 4, I fully expect Boston to slam the door shut at home tonight. Even if Tatum has a big first half, I'm not sure the Celtics will need him to play a full complement of playoff minutes. Prior to Games 3 and 4, in which Tatum scored exactly 33 points, he'd averaged just 20.2 points per game across his previous five – all of which were blowouts.

Darius Garland over 23.5 points (+130) versus Boston Celtics

DraftKings 1:30 p.m. CT

After a slow start to the postseason, Garland exploded for a playoff-high 30 points in Game 4 while Donovan Mitchell was sidelined due to a strained calf. Garland got up a season-high 27 shots during the loss and should see similar usage in Game 5, as Mitchell is expected to remain out. Garland has attempted at least 20 shots 12 times this season. He scored at least 23 points in nine of those contests while averaging 26.8 points on 42.4 percent shooting.



WNBA


Marina Mabrey Over 14.5 Points (-145) at Dallas Wings

DraftKings Sportsbook, 3:10 p.m. CT

Mabrey scored at least 15 points in 20 of her 39 appearances last year, but that was with Kahleah Copper alongside her to help shoulder some of the offensive load. Copper is now in Phoenix, which means that Mabrey will take on a leading role in the Sky backcourt in 2024. Mabrey should have plenty of shot volume in Tuesday's regular-season opener against her former team, and I expect that she'll have little trouble scoring at least 15 points.


Dana Evans Over 0.5 Made Threes (-220) at Dallas Wings

FanDuel Sportsbook, 3:10 p.m. CT

The odds for a straight bet on this player prop aren't stellar, but it can make a good addition to a parlay if you're looking for better overall odds. As mentioned with Mabrey, Copper is now gone, and her departure means that Evans is slated to take on a starting role. Evans came off the bench in all but one of her appearances last year but still made at least one three-pointer in 29 of 39 outings. With her role expected to grow in 2024, I'm expecting that she should see ample looks from long range.


Elizabeth Williams Over 5.5 Rebounds (+105) at Dallas Wings

DraftKings Sportsbook, 1:30 p.m. CT

Williams finished third on the Sky in rebounds last year with 5.8 per game. Alanna Smith (6.6) and Courtney Williams (6.0), who finished first and second, aren't on the team anymore, and Isabelle Harrison (knee) and Kamilla Cardoso (shoulder) won't be available. Angel Reese should gather up her fair share of rebounds, but Williams has a clear path to a bunch of minutes and will be planted under the room for most of those. Those looking to bet on Williams over 5.5 rebounds can use a DraftKings promo code.


Natasha Howard Over 7.5 Rebounds (-120) vs. Chicago Sky

DraftKings Sportsbook, 3:10 p.m. CT

As Kirien mentioned above, the Sky lost their top two rebounders from last year during the offseason, and while Elizabeth Williams and Angel Reese should pick up some of the slack, I expect Howard to thrive on the boards. The Wings will be playing without Satou Sabally over the first half of the season, so Howard should see an expanded role in the frontcourt. Howard was a solid rebounder last year, and I expect her to have success in the regular-season opener.


Teaira McCowan Over 9.5 Rebounds (-110) vs. Chicago Sky

DraftKings Sportsbook, 3:00 p.m. CT

McCowan was one of the WNBA's best rebounders a year ago and should have a good opportunity to keep that rolling to begin this season against a Sky team that will likely struggle on the glass, as it did in 2023. Chicago is down both Isabelle Harrison and Kamilla Cardoso, so the Sky will have fairly limited options to throw at McCowan, who led the league in total rebound percentage (19.7%) and offensive rebound percentage (14.9%) last season. McCowan went over this number in 18 of 30 games a year ago.


Rickea Jackson Over 9.5 Points (-114) vs. Atlanta Dream

FanDuel Sportsbook, 3:25 p.m. CT

 This line feels like value for multiple reasons. First off, it's up to 11.5 points (+100 to the over) on DraftKings. Second off, we (RotoWire) have Jackson -- the No. 4 pick in this year's draft -- projected to average 13.8 points per game. Not to mention, it helps that the rebuilding Sparks get their first game of the season at home against what is expected to be an average squad in the Dream. Those looking to bet on Jackson over 9.5 points can use a FanDuel promo code.


Cameron Brink Over 6.5 Rebounds (-146) vs. Atlanta Dream

FanDuel Sportsbook, 12:30 p.m. CT

Brink averaged 11.9 rebounds per game in her final season at Stanford, and her size should translate well in her first season of WNBA action. I'm not predicting a flawless rookie debut by any means. However, I expect her to settle in early by crashing the boards. This number is simply too low for my liking, give me Brink to grab at least seven rebounds tonight.

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