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NBA: Monday Picks

Andre Drummond under 11.5 rebounds (-104) vs. GrizzliesFanDuel, 3:27 PM CT

This might be somewhat contrarian with Joel Embiid sidelined and Drummond set to get the start with his great per-minute rebounding numbers. However, there are two factors making me lean to the under. First, Drummond has only averaged 10.0 rebounds in 23.8 minutes across his past six starts. I don't think coach Doc Rivers trusts him to play 30 minutes anymore. Second, the Grizzlies are tied for allowing the fewest opponent rebounds per 100 possessions (42.9) – a function of Steven Adams' presence.

Memphis Grizzlies -4.0 at Philadelphia 76ers – DraftKings Sportsbook, 11:15AM CT

The Sixers will be without Joel Embiid for the first time in 21 games, while the Grizzlies are nearly at full strength, with Dillon Brooks being the lone exception. The Sixers should still have enough to make this an entertaining game, but Memphis continues to roll and remains the league's best team against the spread, covering at a 65.8% rate (34-18 ATS). Memphis is also an NBA-best 17-7 ATS on the road, while Philly is just 9-14 ATS at home.

Josh Giddey OVER 14.5 POINTSDraftKings, 2:06 PM CT

With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander likely out through the All-Star break, several Thunder players will be called upon to step things up. Josh Giddey and Luguentz Dort will be at the forefront of that effort. While Giddey has only eclipsed this number in four of his last 10 games, the new game script should allow him to hit this number with more frequency.

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