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NBA Picks Monday February 23


We did the heavy lifting. Now you just lock in.

🟢 1️⃣ Spurs +1.5 vs Pistons (-115)

Fontaines 5 Angle: Protect The Paint = Protect The Ticket

Detroit takes a ton of shots… but not the ones that scare you.

They’re:

  • Bottom tier in three-point percentage

  • Not a high-volume three-point team

  • Rely heavily on rim pressure

And who’s waiting at the rim?

👽 Victor Wembanyama.

If Detroit’s only real edge is attacking inside, they’re walking straight into the one place San Antonio thrives. Even if foul trouble shows up, the Spurs still have depth to protect the basket.

This feels like a tight one-possession game — and we’re getting points.

F5 Take:Spurs keep it competitive all night.Take the +1.5 and breathe.

🟣 2️⃣ Maxime Raynaud OVER 10.5 Rebounds (-115)

Fontaines 5 Angle: Minutes = Money

Raynaud has cleared this number in 3 of his last 4.

Now he gets:

  • A fast-paced matchup

  • A bottom-five rebounding team

  • A competitive game script

When minutes hit 30+ for a big man with this role, rebounds stack naturally. Memphis isn’t exactly boxing anyone out right now either.

This isn’t flashy.This is volume and opportunity.

F5 Take:Boards don’t lie.Over 10.5 looks strong.

🟡 3️⃣ Walter Clayton OVER 1.5 Made Threes (+150)

Fontaines 5 Angle: Value Play of the Day

This one is for the value hunters 🎯

Clayton:

  • Averaging nearly 5 three-point attempts per game

  • Playing 25+ minutes

  • Facing a defense allowing one of the highest 3PT makes recently

At +150, we don’t need perfection.We need two clean looks to fall.

And if Memphis keeps letting shooters fire freely, this number is very live.

F5 Take:Two splashes = plus money cash.That’s value we take.

🧠 Bonus Lean:

Under 231.5 in Spurs/PistonsBoth defenses capable of slowing pace — this could be more grind than track meet.

🐂 Final Card – Fontaines 5

✅ Spurs +1.5✅ Raynaud Over 10.5 Rebounds✅ Clayton Over 1.5 Threes

We’re attacking:

  • Paint protection edge

  • Rebounding volume

  • 3PT value pricing

No guessing.No chasing.Calculated pressure.

If you rocking with the Cash Crew…

You already know the motto:

You can’t win if you don’t lock it in. 🐂💰

 
 
 

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