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NBA Prop Bets of The Night


1. Jalen Suggs – Over 5.5 Assists



Suggs enters the best facilitating environment on the slate:


  • Fastest-paced matchup Orlando has seen in weeks

  • Chicago allows the highest rim frequency in the league → constant drive-and-kick opportunities

  • No Paolo Banchero = Suggs becomes Orlando’s primary initiator

  • Chicago struggles with guard containment and help rotations



Projection: 6–9 assists

Confidence Level: ★★★★☆





2. Desmond Bane – Over 21.5 Points



This line is simply too low.


  • Bane becomes the #1 scoring option with Banchero out

  • Chicago’s defensive profile: elite at the rim but terrible in long midrange, which is where Bane eats

  • Orlando projected for one of the highest totals on the slate

  • Pace is elite (CHI 2nd fastest team in the NBA)



Projection: 24–30 points

Confidence Level: ★★★★★





3. Cade Cunningham – Over 9.5 Assists



This looks high on paper — but the matchup demands it.


  • Atlanta gives up top-5 PnR assist rates

  • Detroit runs EVERYTHING through Cade

  • Fast pace, high possession volume

  • Teammates in good finishing matchups (Duren lob threat, Jaden/Ausar slashers)



Cade has cleared or flirted with double-digit assists in similar pace matchups.


Projection: 10–13 assists

Confidence Level: ★★★★☆





4. Wendell Carter Jr. – Over 8.5 Rebounds



WCJ is in a dream rebounding spot:


  • Chicago is one of the worst defensive rebounding teams

  • Missing size and interior presence

  • Orlando is top-10 in offensive rebounding rate

  • Chicago gives up massive rim attempts → lots of rebound opportunities



This is a floor of 8, with realistic upside into the low teens.


Projection: 10–13 rebounds

Confidence Level: ★★★★☆





5. Marvin Bagley – Over 9.5 Points



Bagley’s minutes are stable and the matchup is clean:


  • Milwaukee allows bigs to score efficiently on short-roll and dump-off finishes

  • Washington lacking interior depth elevates Bagley’s role

  • Bagley consistently hits 10+ when given 20–24 minutes



This number is simply too low for his projected role.


Projection: 10–14 points

Confidence Level: ★★★☆☆

 
 
 

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