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NFL Week 1 Player Props

NFL Week 1 Player Props

CeeDee Lamb OVER 72.5 (-114) Receiving Yards

The Cowboys have very limited options to throw to and I'd expect Lamb to get double-digit targets easily. The Dallas running game is decent enough to keep the Tampa defense honest and Lamb should be able to get loose for at least a couple of catch of 15-plus yards.

Keenan Allen OVER 5.5 Receptions (-158)

I hate the juice here but it's the one wager you can make on Allen's receptions. This is supposed to be a shootout and Allen averaged 6.6 catches per game last season and went over this mark (six and seven) the two times they played the Raiders last season. With the Chargers expected to score around 28 points, expect the Justin Herbert/Keenan Allen connection to pick up right where it left off last season.

Travis Etienne UNDER 71.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards

The truth is we don't know how the workload is going to be divided up in the Jaguars backfield. The presence of James Robinson clouds the potential touches for Etienne and it's tough to know how much work each will get. There's also the possible scenario that if Etienne fumbles early, he may suddenly see a reduced role. The Commanders are at home and last season had the eighth best mark against the run for efficiency allowing only 4.1 yards per carry. I'll back the under here as a result.

Anytime Touchdown Props

Would it surprise you to find out that the over/under for Trey Lance rushing yards this season was higher than Josh Allen? I'm not suggesting Lance IS Josh Allen but I am suggesting that the rushing attempts will be there all season long. This should include near the goal line and like Allen, Lance may score on a passing play inside the ten that breaks down and he has to take off. For comparison, Jalen Hurts is +110 to score against the Lions; I'd rather double the odds and take Lance.

I actually went back and forth between taking Tonyan or taking the three healthy wide receivers collectively (Sammy Watkins +310, Romeo Doubs +340, Christian Watson +350). The latter might be more fun and have more upside, but Tonyan is the safer play. If we were talking about this last season, Davante Adams, Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling would all be in this conversation but they won't be on the field to take on the Vikings. Tonyan seems to be the lone survivor of the group and who Aaron Rodgers is most familiar with. Don't forget Tonyan had 11 receiving touchdowns from Rodgers in 2020.

Ok, here's the long shot of the week and hear me out. DeAndre Hopkins is suspended and Rondale Moore has been ruled out elevating Isabella onto the fantasy radar. He's still the third fiddle behind Marquise Brown (+165) and A.J. Green (+260) but should see plenty of action considering all the three-wide receiver sets the Cardinals use. It's tough to find odds this good for any third wide receiver so take advantage of this in what should be a shootout with the Chiefs.

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