Andre Drummond over 15.5 rebounds (-104) vs. Raptors – WynnBET, 1:04 PM CT
The Raptors barely have anyone resembling a real center on the roster, and Drummond has averaged 20.0 rebounds across his past three starts. The books will continue to stubbornly put out props in this range for Drummond, and I will stubbornly keep hitting the over. Sometimes it's just that simple.
Bam Adebayo over 34.5 points + rebounds + assists (+104) at Clippers – WynnBET, 2:40 PM CT
Jimmy Butler is out, which opens up a ton of extra usage in Miami's offense. Adebayo is one of the main beneficiaries, boasting a 7.8 percent usage increase with Butler off the court. Per 36 minutes, Adebayo averages 29.4 points 13.6 rebounds and 3.8 assists per 36 minutes. His usage increases even more with Markieff Morris also off the court, so this becomes an even better bet if he ends up sidelined again. Furthermore, the Clippers' center rotation is weak, and they're allowing the third-most rebounds per 100 possessions (48.2) in the NBA. Things are setting up for him to have his best game of the season.
Los Angeles Clippers ML (-200) vs. Miami Heat – WynnBet Sportsbook, 2:30PM CT
After a slow start, the Clippers enter the night riding a five-game winning streak. They're starting to look more like the cohesive team we saw during playoffs last season. More than anything, though, this pick is about the Heat's situation. Not only is Miami coming in on the second half of a tough back-to-back after losing to the LeBron-less Lakers in overtime last night, but they'll be without Jimmy Butler, who left that game with a sprained ankle. The Heat have other offensive threats, but without Butler I like the Clippers' chances to continue rolling at home.