It's been a rather rough start to the year, no sugarcoating it. I've found myself tangled up in thoughts about these underperforming teams that have dealt out some frustrating losses. Week 2 has historically been a hotbed for overreactions, but my aim is to regain focus, pinpoint those favorable opportunities, and steer this ship back on course.
Ironically, in our featured game columns, I'm a perfect 3-0, but alas, that doesn't reflect here! I initially had my eye on Georgia Southern and UConn, but the lines have shifted by 1.5 to 2 points since they first opened on Sunday night. While I'm still inclined toward them, the appeal isn't quite as strong with the movement.
This week, I'm gravitating towards a slew of road teams. Additionally, there are numerous spreads where that elusive half-point could be the game-changer. It's a collective effort, so let's all do our part and, hopefully, find that safety net.
Purdue (+3) at Virginia Tech
Another spot where the wrong team is favored? Purdue was gashed through the air last week by Fresno State; that's likely going to happen a lot to the Bulldogs' opponents and could happen often to the Boilermakers in conference play, too. Virginia Tech looked better in their passing game against ODU last week, but the Monarchs are in the midst of a heavy rebuild, so consider me skeptical. The Hokies couldn't run the ball at all, nor could they stop it, gaining 2.5 ypc and allowing 4.7. What saved VT is ODU coughing up three fumbles, two in plus territory, and an interception. Purdue can limit the run, get more pressure on QB Grant Wells and force mistakes. We've seen that formula multiple times last season, and it repeats here. I'll take the points, but I don't hate Purdue on the moneyline.
Here are my college football picks for this week from a Fontaine 5 perspective:
Colorado -3 (-110)
Alabama -6.5 (-130)
Oklahoma -17 (-110)
Utah -6 (-105)
UFC -3 (-105)
Let's gear up for a rebound in Week 2!