I'm not sure I like anything in this match. Japan is probably a touch overrated after their win and Costa Rica is probably a touch underrated after their loss. Still, I'm not going to bet on Costa Rica, who should actually complete a few passes in this match. I think Japan should still be on the attack more than Costa Rica, which are mostly a defensive side that focuses on counterattacks. That leads me to Japan -3 corners at better than-even odds.
World Cup Best Bets for Belgium versus Morocco
Morocco double chance -110 against Belgium
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Belgium was lucky to take three points in their opener and I'm going against them again. Morocco is arguably much better defensively than Canada with Romain Saiss and Nayef Aguerd centrally, and Achraf Hakimi and Noussair Mazraoui at full-back. Given how Belgium looked in that first match, I almost think Morocco is a better overall team, and don't hate taking them to win at +320.
I'll play it safe instead with the double chance in what could be another low-scoring, ugly match. I'd look at under 2.5 goals at -130, though there's a chance those odds get better as more people put money in.
World Cup Best Bets for Croatia versus Canada
Over 9.5 corners between Croatia and Canada +100
I think this will quietly be the best match of the day. Canada needs points and they're not going to sit back and allow Croatia to control the match. While I don't think that means they'll win, I think there will be goals.
Canada plays a lot off the counter and it wouldn't be surprising if they have a high line and put more bodies forward than usual to get an early goal. Maybe Croatia score early and then run the match the rest of the way for a 1-0 win, but that's a pessimistic view. I think there will be a ton of corners either way, as Croatia will control the midfield and they send in tons of crosses. Croatia played a more defensive Morocco in their first match and could get 10 corners by themselves against Canada, so it's over 9.5 at +100 for me.
World Cup Best Bets for Spain versus Germany
Spain to beat Germany +140
Just because a team needs to win, doesn't mean they will. Germany's problems were evident in their opener against Japan and I'm not sure a matchup against possession-heavy Spain will help. The skill is there for the Germans, but they struggled defensively on the wing against Japan and Spain can attack there with Dani Olmo, Ferran Torres, or whoever starts.
While I think under 2.5 goals is in play at +100, I'm still worried that this match goes off the rails because Germany needs points and they're going to push. That could result in a back-and-forth game with goals. Instead, I think Spain winning at +140 is a little safer, as that's how I felt before the tournament and still where I'm at after the opening matches.
World Cup Betting Picks Sunday, Nov. 27
Japan -3 corners against Costa Rica +110
Morocco double chance -110 against Belgium
Over 9.5 corners between Croatia and Canada +100
Spain to beat Germany -140
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