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Best NBA Bets Today - Thursday, March 9

Keep in mind March Madness, the Masters, and playoffs for the NBA and NHL draws near start preparing for an exciting spring of sports betting.


Tyrese Haliburton over 33.5 points + assists vs. Rockets (-105)

Houston and Indiana are the two worst defenses in the NBA over the past month, so the scoring could get out of hand. Haliburton has been cooking since the All-Star break, averaging 27.4 points and 12.2 assists in 35.6 minutes. There is some blowout potential since the Pacers are favored by 10 points, but it's not enough to scare me off.

Brook Lopez O25.5 PTS + REB vs. Nets The Bucks are holding out Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight, so this should line up well for Lopez – especially with Nic Claxton among several inactives for Brooklyn. Lopez is coming off of a 26-point, six-rebound effort earlier this week, and he went for 22 points and 13 points in the previous game Giannis sat out (Feb. 26 vs. PHO). Hornets-Pistons U225.0 points Shoutout to Garion Thorne, who laid out a compelling case for this bet on DraftKings' The Sweat earlier this morning. In a year when inflated totals have become the norm, this one feels a little too high considering the teams involved. Over the last 10 games, Charlotte and Detroit rank 29th and 28th, respectively, in offense, while Charlotte has been the second-best defense in that span. Even the Pistons rank 15th in defensive rating over the last 10. We can expect a fairly fast-paced game, but I'm not sure it matters with LaMelo Ball out and Detroit mostly devoid of impact offensive options. Tyrese Haliburton over 22.5 points vs. Rockets (-130) The Houston Rockets rank last (30th) in points allowed to point guards per game (27.6). They are not interested in winning or defense. Budding Pacer star Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 26.1 points over his last seven games. He also scores a hair better at home than on the road, and they play in Indiana tonight. Plus the Pacers are motivated. They have very little chance to win the lottery and are only two games out of the Play-In. Myles Turner is in a bit of slump, so Indy needs their star to shine. Finally, the O/U of 236.5 is one of the higher over-unders of the night.


Jordan Poole o17.5 points (-125), DraftKings

Tonight, bettors have a prime buy-low opportunity on Jordan Poole after three consecutive games in which he has shot 33.3% or worse from the field. In those three contests, he has still averaged 12.0 field goal attempts per game and played 32 minutes or more twice – indicating that his volume is still likely to be high on Thursday evening. On Thursday, he gets a date with the Memphis Grizzlies, a team that will once again be without Ja Morant, Steven Adams, and Brandon Clarke, forcing role players into expanded roles. As a result, Memphis will be more thin in the second unit, which is where Poole will see the majority of his playing time. Across their last two games, Memphis has allowed four separate players on the opposing team’s bench to score at least 15 points. Poole is far more talented than any of those players, giving him value in this spot, despite his recent run of inefficiency and back-to-back games going under this market number.

Klay Thompson o3.5 rebounds (-150), FanDuel

In two games since Stephen Curry returned to the lineup for the Golden State Warriors, Klay Thompson has had 10 rebound chances in both trips to the hardwood. In those two games, Thompson has eclipsed this number both times – tallying five rebounds against the Los Angeles Lakers and four rebounds against the Oklahoma City Thunder. On Thursday, Thompson gets a favorable matchup against a Memphis Grizzlies team that has struggled mightily on the glass without Steven Adams and Ja Morant on the floor. According to props.cash, each of the last seven guards to have a rebound prop released against the Grizzlies have hit the over .Expect that trend to continue in this spot.

Domantas Sabonis o18.5 points (+100), BetMGM

Heading into action on Thursday, Domantas Sabonis has eclipsed this number in 11 of his last 18 home games, with another three games in which he has landed on exactly 18 points. Simply, Sabonis is competitive at this market number nearly every single time he takes the floor. Since the All-Star break, Sabonis has only one game with fewer than 18 points, and it coincided with the only game in that span in which he has attempted fewer than 10 field goals. The New York Knicks have a strong overall defense, but they have been vulnerable to forwards of late, allowing 23 points to Gordon Hayward, 27 points to “(player-popup #kelly-oubre)Kelly Oubre Jr, and 40 points to Jayson Tatum. Trust Sabonis to get the job done here.



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