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FanDuel NBA: Monday Value Plays

SLATE OVERVIEW

MIL (-2) @ CHA O/U: 234.5

UTA (-11.5) @ DET O/U: 222.5

BOS (-5.5) vs. IND O/U: 215.5

NYK (-6.5) vs. SAS O/U: 214.5

PHI (-10.5) @ HOU O/U: 225.5

CLE (-4.5) @ SAC O/U: 218.5

BKN (-10.5) @ POR O/U: 225.5

It appears that the Bucks and Hornets hold the most value tonight with the high projected total, and several late-swap opportunities exist with the Nets and Trail Blazers if you find yourself behind the eight ball early in the evening.

INJURIES

MIL Jrue Holiday (ankle) - OUT

MIL Grayson Allen (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

MIL Pat Connaughton (COVID-19 Protocols) - QUESTIONABLE

MIL George Hill (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

The deficiencies at the guard position will mean increased run for Donte DiVincenzo ($3,900) and Wesley Matthews ($4,000), while Bobby Portis ($6,000) should get a slight boost from Connaughton's absence.

UTA Rudy Gobert (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

UTA Rudy Gay (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

UTA Joe Ingles (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

Hassan Whiteside ($5,300) didn't perform very well as Gobert's replacement, but I would consider Royce O'Neale ($5,500) at his salary.

IND Caris LeVert (COVID-19 Protocols) - QUESTIONABLE

IND Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) - QUESTIONABLE

IND Torrey Craig (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

We're still in a holding pattern for Indiana's backcourt. LeVert, Brogdon and Craig could all return tonight, but Duane Washington ($4,200) and Chris Duarte ($4,900) will step in if the tags hold for the Pacers' top two guards.

SAS Derrick White (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

SAS Keldon Johnson (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

SAS Devin Vassell (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

Pivots for this injury situation will be challenging, but Lonnie Walker ($4,400) and Keita Bates-Diop ($3,900) figure to be the best options for increased production, plus an elite prospect that we will name in a moment.

NYK Kemba Walker (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

NYK Evan Fournier (thigh) - QUESTIONABLE

NYK Nerlens Noel (conditioning) - QUESTIONABLE

Don't go out of your way to look for value amid these injuries. There are better opportunities elsewhere on the slate.

PHI Tyrese Maxey (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

PHI Shake Milton (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

Seth Curry ($6,700) is the best candidate again, and Furkan Korkmaz ($5,300) will also get a boost.

HOU Alperen Sengun (ankle) - OUT

Kenyon Martin ($4,400) and Daniel Theis ($3,500) will move up the depth chart as Christian Wood's backup.

SAC Richaun Holmes (COVID-19 Protocols) - QUESTIONABLE

Expect increased production from Marvin Bagley ($4,500) and Alex Len ($4,700) if Holmes is out.

BKN LaMarcus Aldridge (foot) - OUT

An absence from Aldridge creates an excellent opportunity for Nicolas Claxton ($5,500) once again.

POR Damian Lillard (abdomen) - OUT

POR CJ McCollum (chest) - OUT

POR Norman Powell (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

POR Larry Nance (knee) - OUT

The injury struggles continue for Portland. Anfernee Simons ($7,300), Dennis Smith ($4,700) and Nassir Little ($5,200) are the top pivots in this scenario.

My top pivot from players listed above is Portis by a mile against Charlotte.

ELITE PLAYERS

We have six players at $10k or above on tonight's slate, and Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,500)ranks as our first solid endorsement against Charlotte. Over two games against the Hornets, Giannis has averaged almost 70 FP. I am also a fan of Dejounte Murray ($10,400), considering his depleted backcourt and lack of minute restriction. James Harden ($9,400) is also intriguing at this salary as a road appearance from Kyrie Irving ($7,800) will impact Harden's output, though we don't have enough of a sample size to determine its benefit or detriment.

Rounding out the top picks, I like LaMelo Ball ($8,400) on the other end of that pace-up game with the Bucks, and Jayson Tatum ($10,100) also projects well against the Pacers.

Also consider: Donovan Mitchell, UTA ($8,500) @ DET, Khris Middleton, MIL ($8,300) @ CHA

EXPECTED CHALK AND CORE TARGETS

Jusuf Nurkic, POR ($7,400) vs. BKN

Nurkic represents Portland's best chance to win against the Nets, and his recent string of double-doubles reflects that. He could hit the 6x multiplier relative to his salary in this spot, with the potential to eclipse 50 FP.

Christian Wood, HOU ($7,000) vs. PHI

Wood's dual eligibility, lower salary and lack of backup support make him a candidate for increased usage and an excellent total. He did not play in the team's most recent matchup against Philly last week, so it will be interesting to see if he can make any headway against Joel Embiid.

Tyrese Haliburton, SAC ($6,800) vs. CLE

I prefer Haliburton over De'Aaron Fox because the point-per-dollar salary differential of $1,300 for Fox isn't justified by Haliburton's numbers against Cleveland. Haliburton has run hot over his past six games, averaging just north of 35 FP per game.

Also consider: Tobias Harris, PHI ($7,800) @ HOU

VALUE PLAYS

Cade Cunningham, DET ($6,600) vs. UTA

I will continue to plug Cunningham into my GPPs because his upside is immense, and despite Utah's stingy defense, I believe the rookie will be able to find an opening. Although his paltry 38.1 percent shooting continues to frustrate, his salary gives him enough value to warrant consideration.

Alec Burks, NYK ($5,800) vs. SAS

The only thing that would push me off Burks would be an active Kemba Walker, which is always a possibility. If Walker sits, I am a big fan of Burks, who will get most of the looks in the backcourt. Although he hasn't shot the ball well over the past two weeks, he's deadly accurate from the charity stripe and can draw a foul with the best of them.

Robert Covington, POR ($5,300) vs. BKN

It gives me no joy to endorse Covington's variance, but the absence of Norman Powell seems to be a green light for the veteran. With more popular pivots for Portland, Covington may escape the gaze of many participants, but he appears to be a cinch to start and put in over 30 minutes of court time.

Harrison Barnes ($5,000) and Buddy Hield ($5,100), SAC vs. CLE

Although they occupy different positions, I am bunching the two together due to their similar salary. I am fine with mix-and-matching the duo, who will often end up as the top performers for the Kings. With their salaries, they only need FP totals of 25 or higher to pay off.

Also consider: Obi Toppin, DET ($3,700) vs. SAS

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