NBA Best Bets Today -Wednesday, March 22
Before we get back to making this money I'd like to take a moment to thank my best man, Sarah Onan, for helping make my bachelor party in Vegas an unforgettable experience. From planning the itinerary to keeping the party going, Sarah went above and beyond to ensure that everyone had a great time. Without her, the weekend wouldn't have been nearly as much fun. So, thank you, Sarah, for being a fantastic friend and an incredible best man.
Last weekend's bachelor party in Vegas was an absolute blast! We hit up all the hottest clubs, gambled at the finest casinos, and partied like there was no tomorrow. But as much fun as we had, there's something to be said about returning to the grind of sports betting. Don't get me wrong, I love a good party, but there's a unique rush that comes with placing a winning bet. Plus, with March Madness heating up, there's never been a better time to dive back into the world of sports betting. So here's to a weekend well-spent and a new week of thrilling bets and exciting games!
Best Bets
Kristaps Porzingis over 26.5 points (-104) vs. Nuggets
I'm anticipating a fairly big game out of Porzingis with both Bradley Beal and Kyle Kuzma sidelined. With those two off the court, Porzingis averages 30.3 points per 36 minutes. The matchup is advantageous as well, as the Nuggets have the third-worst defense over the past two weeks.
Trail Blazers at Jazz U235.0 points I never feel comfortable betting unders, but I simply do not trust this iteration of the Blazers to hold up their end of the bargain. The implied total for Portland is hovering around 115.0ish points – a number Portland has reached only once in its past seven games. The Jazz side of this does worry me – Portland has been a disaster on defense since the break – but I don't see the non-Lillard Blazers doing enough to push this over. Stephen Curry over 29.5 points (-120) at Dallas Both Dallas and Golden State desperately need a win tonight to avoid the Play-In. The Warriors received a day of rest after Monday's win over the Rockets. Curry is averaging 30.4 points per game after one day of rest, a slight tick over his season average. He also has averaged 30.5 PPG over 26 road games this season. And remember, these Warriors are still without Andrew Wiggins (personal). Both Luka and Kyrie are GTDs for the Mavericks. Doncic is probable but has missed the last five games due to a thigh issue. He might be a bit hobbled. Either way, Luka is too slow for Curry. Irving's poor defense is well documented, though he's questionable due to a right foot strain. He's missed three games. The O/U is a perky 235.5 -- I like Curry's chances. I'm 24-20 on the season, so certainly feel free to fade.
DeMar DeRozan o22.5 points (-115), BetMGM
According to props.cash, DeMar DeRozan has eclipsed this market number in 40 of 65 games played this season, including seven of his last eight trips to the hardwood. In his last five games, he has attempted at least 20 shot attempts four times, scoring as many as 49 points during that stretch. The Philadelphia 76ers are not the easiest matchup in the league for opposing guards, but DeRozan has hit the over at this market number in two of three meetings against Philadelphia this season. Due to his recent volume alone, this is a play with immense value. Trust DeRozan to get the job done on Wednesday.
Rudy Gobert o13.5 points (-122), FanDuel
Can Rudy Gobert be trusted again? To be determined. However, he has eclipsed this market number in 20 of his last 29 games played, according to props.cash, and he has another favorable matchup this evening against an Atlanta Hawks team that ranks 27th in opponent field goal attempts allowed in the restricted area across the last month of action. On the season, Gobert is averaging 8.0 field goal attempts per game, 6.8 of which are coming in the restricted area. Expect him to be busy around the rim in this spot and have an excellent opportunity to hit the over on his points prop.
Giannis Antetokounmpo o31.5 points (-105), DraftKings
Bettors are likely getting a slight discount on “(player-popup #giannis-antetokounmpo)Giannis Antetokounmpo”:/players/giannis-antetokounmpo-16852’s points prop this evening in anticipation of a blowout game script against the San Antonio Spurs. Still, this matchup is too good to pass up for Antetokounmpo, who has eclipsed this market number in 18 of his 29 home games this season – good for a 62% hit-rate to the over. Six of the last nine forwards to have a points prop released against the Spurs have hit the over, per props.cash. Expect Antetokounmpo to put together a strong performance in this spot as he continues his pursuit of another MVP award