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NBA: Thursday Picks

Karl-Anthony Towns 30+ Pts, 12+ Rebs, 4+ Asts (+850) at PistonsDraftKings, 1:06 PM CT

The Pistons don't have anyone in the frontcourt even remotely capable of guarding Towns. KAT has gone for 30+ points in 10 games this season. He had at least 12 boards in four of those and at least four assists in six of those. It seems reasonable to assume if he had eight tries against Detroit, he'd reach 30/12/4 at least once.

Phoenix Suns -4.0 (-115) at Atlanta Hawks – DraftKings Sportsbook, Noon CT

The line is actually down from Suns -4.5 earlier in the day, so that pushes me even more toward Phoenix. Trae Young is a game-time decision, but even if he plays, I like the Suns' chances to win their 12th straight. During this latest winning streak, Phoenix has by far the best offensive rating in the league, with Chris Paul, Devin Booker and Mikal Bridges leading the way and each seeing big minutes on a nightly basis. It hasn't even mattered if Deandre Ayton or Jae Crowder are available, but both should be good to go tonight. The Hawks are just 7-13 ATS as an underdog this season, and they're 1-3 ATS as a home dog. Meanwhile, Phoenix is 15-8 ATS on the road and 12-6 ATS as a road favorite.

Deandre Ayton under 14.5 points (-125) at Hawks – DraftKings, 12:15 PM CT

Clint Capela under 10.5 points (-125) vs. Suns

Ayton scored 12 points Tuesday following a seven-game absence due to an ankle injury. It's hard to imagine the fourth-year center playing enough minutes to really push this over, especially against a feisty Hawks frontcourt that has both Clint Capela and John Collins back after both missed stretches throughout the end of December and into January.

Conversely, Capela is averaging just eight points and 23.8 minutes over the last six games after returning from his own six-game layoff due to an ankle injury. Sure, the 27-year-old figures to play more against a lineup like the Suns which features its big men heavily, but it's difficult to imagine major offensive production coming his way. Parlaying the two isn't possible on DraftKings, but you could get similar action on FanDuel for +249, but you'll have to forfeit some flexibility given Capela's o/u 9.5 point figure on that platform.

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