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Sports-book: NFL Sunday Best Bets

GAMES

Los Angeles Rams +2.5 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Rams looked very good Monday night and that was without Cooper Kupp having a huge game. This game is likely going to rest on the shoulders of Matthew Stafford and he looked great in the blowout of the Cardinals, especially throwing a perfect fade to Odell Beckham. Tampa has a lot of injuries that I'm not sure they can get past and even though there are holes in the Rams' secondary, the pass rush for them should make up for that. With the line at 2.5, I actually think it's probably smarter to take the Rams' money line at +125.

San Francisco 49ers +5.5 at Green Bay Packers

I think the spread here might actually mean something as I can see Green Bay winning but not in a blowout. The 49ers are solid on both sides of the ball and they should keep this game close using their run-heavy approach. The weather might play a factor but that shouldn't have a big effect on the game given the 49ers' game plan.

Buffalo Bills -105 Money Line at Kansas City Chiefs

Did you think we'd get past this section without me taking my hometown team? I don't like that this line has gradually moved down this week from the initial 2.5 points so I'll just take the money line here. I'm not convinced the Chiefs' defense can slow down Josh Allen and company and I have more faith that the Bills defense can come up with multiple stops against Patrick Mahomes. All of that being said, we should be thankful that we are getting a Super Bowl-esque matchup as early as the Divisional Round.


Cooper Kupp OVER 8.5 Receptions +115 - Kupp has exactly seven targets in each of his last three games so this number makes no sense. Looking at his season-long stats, it shows that outside of those three games he's had nine targets once, and then double-digit targets in the rest of his games. You can beat Tampa through the air, on the ground not-so-much. Look for Matthew Stafford to be throwing a lot and Kupp being one of the benefactors of that.


PLAYER TOUCHDOWNS


Mecole Hardman +300 - Finally, I get to someone with great odds this week in what's supposed to be the highest-scoring game of the weekend. Hardman just missed a trip to the end zone on a kick return and the Bills are without their top corner, Tre'Davious White. It's easy to see a scenario where Hardman gets loose for a long score in a game that should be a shootout.

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