U.S. Open: Outright Picks
Patrick Cantlay (20-1)
Some bettors may be fading Cantlay. He has struggled in the bigger events this year, missing the cut at THE PLAYERS and PGA Championship while also being a non-factor at Augusta. However, Cantlay notched a pair of top-3 finishes over his last three starts and is gaining over 0.25 strokes per round in the four major Strokes Gained categories. He is a great course fit at Brookline, where players will need to click in all facets of their game.
Corey Conners (60-1)
Having Conners outside the top 25 choices on the board creates excellent value, as the Canadian has been a mainstay on leaderboards recently with six top-15 finishes over his last 10 starts. Considering he ranks eighth in SG: Off-the-Tee and fourth in greens in regulation this season, it's seemingly only a matter of time before Conners finds himself in the winner's circle.
Aaron Wise (100-1)
Wise has been in excellent form for a couple months, having made his last five cuts and picking up four top-25s, the last being his runner-up finish at the Memorial against some tough competition. Wise relies on his superb ball striking, as he is gaining 0.97 strokes per round off the tee and on approach. There's no doubt those will be key factors this week.
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U.S. Open: Top-10 Wagers
Harold Varner III (5-1)
Varner, who has moved up to a career-best 35th in the Official World Golf Ranking, is making his first U.S. Open appearance since 2018. The key for Varner will be whether or not he can put himself in favorable positions off the tee, as his driver has been sporadic. He should do fine elsewhere, as he has been one of the better iron players and scramblers out there.
Davis Riley (6-1)
Riley struggled early in his rookie season, but the 25-year-old has been playing phenomenal golf for few months, picking up six top-15 finishes over his last eight starts, including a runner-up at the Valspar Championship. He posted a T13 at the PGA Championship, so he's clearly both comfortable and capable of playing well on the big stage.
Branden Grace (11-1)
Grace has shown well in major championships, racking up six top-10s in 36 starts, three of which have come at U.S. Open venues including his T7 at Torrey Pines last year. While his form this year has been subpar, his track record at majors is too good to pass up at this price.
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U.S. Open: Head-to-Head Matchups
Jon Rahm (-120) over Scottie Scheffler
It feels harsh to bash either of the top two players in the world, but Scheffler has cooled slightly since winning The Masters and he missed the cut at the PGA Championship. Many would say Rahm has disappointed this year, but that is overstating things, as he leads the Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee. In addition to winning last year's edition of this event, Rahm also finished T3 in the 2019 U.S. Open.
Jordan Spieth (-120) over Cameron Smith
Despite going through some unusual putting woes this year, Spieth has still managed to win and post a pair of runner-up results. He has finished top-25 in over half of his major starts, making him a good fit for one-on-one matchups. Smith has mostly been a non-factor in majors other than The Masters, missing the cut in two of his last four U.S. Open appearances and recording a best finish of T38 over that span.
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