Heat moneyline (120) at Mavericks
These squads are trending in opposite directions, with the Mavericks 2-5 and the Heat 5-2 over the past two weeks. The biggest factor here is Dallas missing Christian Wood without a great replacement for his scoring. That should allow the Heat defense to focus on Luka Doncic and Spencer Dinwiddie. The Heat are also solid on the road, with an 11-12 record away from home.
OKC Thunder +3.5 at Sacramento Kings The status of Domantas Sabonis is the big news item to watch here. If he sits, I love the Thunder to cover this number on the road. Even if Sabonis plays, the Thunder should have a good chance to hang around. They're in the midst of their best stretch of the season, partially spurred on by Josh Giddey settling into a groove alongside Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. OKC is 14-8 ATS away from home this season, including 14-5 ATS as as a road dog. The Thunder have won six of their last seven games, with all six wins coming by double digits.