NBA Player Props, February 26, 2023
Lu Dort o19.5 points + assists
Mikal Bridges o4.5 rebounds
Jrue Holiday 0ver4.5 rebounds
Spencer Dinwiddie over 4 assist
Lu Dort o19.5 points + assists (-120), FanDuel
In 52 games played this season, Lu Dort has only eclipsed this market number 15 times. However, he has eclipsed this number in four of five games this year when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is in street clothes. Dort’s lone miss in those five contests came this past Friday against the Phoenix Suns, a game in which he shot only 5-for-17 from the field. On Sunday, he gets a much more favorable matchup against the Sacramento Kings, which rank 24th in defensive efficiency and 30th in opponent assists per game across the last month, compared to the Suns, which rank sixth in defensive efficiency and eighth in opponent assists per game in that span. Per CourtIQ, Dort is averaging 23.2 points and 2.9 assists per 36 minutes of action this season with Gilgeous-Alexander on the sidelines. The over makes a ton of sense in this spot.
Mikal Bridges o4.5 rebounds (-140), PointsBet
Since joining the Brooklyn Nets, Mikal Bridges has eclipsed this market number in each of his four games played. In that span, he is averaging a healthy 10.0 rebound chances per game, which ranks second on the team to Nic Claxton. Bridges had 10 rebound chances against the 76ers, nine rebound chances against the Knicks, 14 rebound chances against the Heat, and seven rebound chances against the Bulls. Only the last game log has Bridges’ opportunity volume been at a lower mark than we would like. The Atlanta Hawks are not a particularly easy matchup, but neither are they prohibitive – ranking 12th in opponent rebounds per game across the last month. The over is a worthwhile risk here.
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