I was on a very hot run for the first few months of LAST season, but then reality kicked in and I started to get closer to that 55% threshold. I was writing content almost every day which did have an impact on my results, so look for my content this year on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Fridays.
Early indications for me will be to avoid all strikeout props, especially overs, as we see starting pitching get limited and more bullpen usage with the expanded rosters. I also try to recommend bets that will be in the plus range or a slight favorite (usually -150 or less).
Blue Jays vs. Rangers 7:07 pm EDT (Jays -160, Total: 9.0)
Jose Berrios vs. Jon Gray
My pick to win the American League is the Blue Jays, and while the Rangers did improve their offense in the offseason, they are still significantly behind a team like Toronto. I am surprised this line is not more in the -180 to -200 range, so I am looking for value on the Jays to win the game. With a potent offense at home, scoring runs shouldn't be an issue so laying 1.5 runs here is the play.
BET: Jays -1.5 runs for 1 RW buck (+105)
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