College Capper: College Football Week 10 Best Bets
North Carolina (-7) at Virginia
Virginia ranks 123rd in scoring offense, putting up 16.9 points per game. They haven't topped 20 points against an FBS opponent. North Carolina averages 41.8 ppg, being held under 32 points just once. Sometimes, it really is that simple. UNC dealing with some severe injuries to several starters, and Virginia has been consistently unlucky. But at the end of the day, UNC QB Drake Maye will step on the gas, and the Cavaliers can't keep up.
Marshall (-2.5) at Old Dominion
It may seem crazy, but this is my favorite play of the day. So obviously pound ODU, ha! I had Marshall pegged correctly last week, and sometimes, we just have a beat on teams weekly. Neither of these teams have trustworthy offenses, but Marshall's defense seems elite for a non power team. The Herd are 15th in points allowed (17.5 ppg), sixth against the run (2.7 ypc, 87.1 ypg) and 30th against the pass (6.4 ypa, 9:12 TD:INT, 195.6 ypg). The Monarchs aren't going to find any success offensively. Meanwhile, Marshall RB Khalan Laborn is heading back to his Virginia Beach home. He's averaging 5.2 ypc and has 13 rushing scores to date, and ODU ranks 106th against the run.
Clemson (-3.5) at Notre Dame
You stop the Irish on the ground, you win the game. It's that simple. The Irish have won five of six, somewhat quietly given their upset losses. In those five wins, they've averaged 227.4 ypg and 4.7 ypc. In the loss, to Stanford's 120th-ranked rush defense, they got only 150 yards on the ground. Clemson meanwhile is allowing 2.98 ypc and 87.9 ypg on the ground. They have been vulnerable over their last two outings, so maybe those struggles, paired with the night game home crowd keep Notre Dame competitive for a bit. But it's just a bad matchup that Clemson should shut down across 60 minutes.