Michigan (-16.5) vs. Maryland
Michigan couldn't have played an easier non-conference schedule, so this could take a bit to escalate. But over four quarters, I'll take the more complete team to stretch things out, as Maryland just won't get enough stops to compete. 41, 31, 21, 25, 56, 28; those are the victory margins for Michigan in this series since 2015.
Temple (-8.5) vs. Massachusetts
UMass has lost their two FBS games by a combined 97-20. The Owls have only fallen 46-14. It's always a risk when putting confidence in bad teams, but here I am. Temple battled against Rutgers last week, and I'm buying into new starting quarterback E.J. Warner, the son of Hall of Famer Kurt Warner. He didn't set the world on fire last week but should continue to grow as he gets more reps. It's a fun angle that could be completely meaningless, so fall back on the fact we can get the Minutemen at less than 10-point underdogs.
Tulsa (+21.5) at Mississippi
My gut feel last week was South Alabama at UCLA, I didn't have the guts to put it out there, and would have looked prophetic had I done it. This screams the opposite but I'll put it out there and see where the line goes. If it dips under three touchdowns, no thank you. Ole Miss' defense has been terrific, and so has their running game. But this feels like a sandwich spot. They went on the road and waxed Georgia Tech last week, and face Kentucky to open SEC play next week. Tulsa's offense is flying high under QB Davis Brin, who leads the nation in passing, and WR Keylon Stokes. They are surely overmatched, but three scores can result in a cover.