MLB Best Bets for White Sox at Dodgers(Same Game Parlay tab)
Dodgers -1.5 runs -105)
Freddie Freeman OVER 1.5 total bases for-120)
Mookie Betts OVER 1.5 total bases for +125)
Will Smith OVER 1.5 total bases +140)
Freddie Freeman to hit a HR +425)
Max Muncy to hit a HR +300)
MLB Same Game Parlay Today: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Parlay Piece for June 13, 2023
Ian Happ 2+ Total Bases
Jack Suwinski 2+ Total Bases
Over 5.5 – First 5 Inning
Player Props Today
Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run
Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run
Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers
When looking at one game, I typically will pick the biggest mismatch and look to correlate multiple plays on the game.
The Dodgers come into this game on a bad stretch going 3-7 last 10 and just 8-12 over their last 20. But if you look at their recent home games they are 14-4 in their last 18. They are 20-10 overall at home, while just 17-19 on the road. They are also 28-18 vs. right-handed pitchers vs. 9-11 against left-handers.
The White Sox have hit the skids on offense again and they have significant home/road splits (.252/.310/.402 BA/OBA/SLG vs. .221/.281/.371).
The Dodgers are 3rd in runs per game at home F5 at 3.43, and 5th overall at 3.05. Knowing the Dodgers offense is stronger at home, I will look at their better hitters at the top of the lineup for total bases props. Freddie Freeman has great splits at home vs. right-handed pitchers with 2.32 total bases per game. Mookie Betts and Will Smith also have very strong total base per game numbers at home vs. right-handed pitching with 2.56 and 2.65 respectively.
Lance Lynn has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball with a 6.72 ERA, 1.56 WHIP in 72.1 innings (13 starts). His splits vs. left-handed hitters are significant as he is allowing a .362 average against them vs. .214 against right-handed hitters. But if you really dig into his splits against left-handed hitters, he is getting destroyed with a 3.5 HR/9, 7.50 FIP, and 2.06 WHIP
Tony Gonsolin has seen his numbers drop off from 2022, where he had a 0.87 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, 8.2 K/9 and in 2023 he is at 0.98 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9, and 6.6 K/9. Even with the drop off, I am going all in on the Dodgers bats in this spot for tonight's game.
Ian Happ to Hit a Home Run (+500), FanDuel
Luis Ortiz has allowed five home runs this season, three of which have come via left-handed batters, despite the fact that right-handed hitters have more plate appearances against him. Ortiz owns an extremely low 8.2% strikeout rate against left-handed batters, meaning that Ian Happ will have a good chance to put the ball in play in this matchup. Ortiz also has a fly ball rate that is nearly five percent higher for left-handed batters than it is for right-handed batters. All of Happ’s home runs this season have come against right-handed pitching, making him a worthwhile consideration if participating in Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel Sportsbook today.
Jack Suwinski to Hit a Home Run (+350), FanDuel
We have used Jack Suwinski twice this season for the Dinger Tuesday and he has delivered once, giving us the confidence to run it back with him again today. Ahead of first pitch, the forecast is calling for winds blowing out to right field at Wrigley Field for tonight’s contest – creating an environment that will boost fly balls from left-handed batters. Suwinski also gets to face Jameson Taillon, who owns an extremely high 50.8% fly ball right against left-handed batters in 2023. The conditions are there for a Suwinski long ball if he can simply get the ball in the air during the early portion of this contest.
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