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MLB Player Props Today: Plus a PrizePicks Prediction

MLB Player Props Today

Jack Suwinski to hit a home run (+370), FanDuel

Earlier this season, we targeted Jack Suwinski on Dinger Tuesday and he delivered for us, so we are running things back again this evening. Suwinski leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 1.039 OPS against right-handed pitching so far in 2023. Connor Seabold, tonight’s opposing starter, owns a 7.07 FIP, 13.4% strikeout rate, .394 opponent batting average, and a 2.30 WHIP against left-handed batters for his career. He has allowed an astounding 55.7% fly ball rate to left-handed batters. Suwinski has a clear path to making contact in this spot, likely in the air. The wind is blowing out towards right field at PNC Park tonight as well. Trust Suwinski to deliver for us once again.

Dan Vogelbach to hit a home run (+440), FanDuel

In 16.0 innings of work to begin 2023, Luke Weaver has allowed five home runs – three of which have come against left-handed batters. Today, the wind is blowing out towards right field at Great American Ball Park, which is one of the most hitter-friendly venues in Major League Baseball. Dan Vogelbach has a team-best .893 OPS against right-handed pitching in 76 plate appearances this year. Weaver has struggled to keep the ball out of the air against left-handed hitters so far this season, with a 53.8% fly ball rate in these situations. At significant plus money, this is a worthwhile risk for bettors.

MLB DFS Pick’em

Mike Trout more than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs, PrizePicks

Mike Trout has a tough matchup tonight against Framber Valdez, but that should not dissuade bettors from taking a look at him in this spot. Trout owns a .306 batting average and an .803 OPS against left-handed pitching so far in 2023. He is also likely to get at least one at bat against the Houston Astros bullpen this evening, which could be enough to help him get one extra hit or other counting stat if he still has not delivered to that point in the game.

Houston Astros (+118) @ Los Angeles Angels (-138) | Over/Under 7.5

There aren't too many people in this millennium that thought the Angels would be trending upward, while Houston trends down. Nevertheless, here we are. The Astros are currently fourth in the division, where LAA is a close second to the Rangers. Of course, the season is still extremely young, and a lot can and will happen. In only the first series matchup of the year, can Houston even the score after Monday's loss?

We have a sparkling pitchers' duel tonight between Framber Valdez and Shohei Ohtani. Valdez was immaculate last season, and gained a lot of headlines for his 25 consecutive quality starts. Not much has changed this season as he is currently riding a quality start streak of six. Speaking of, Framber was aces against LAA a year ago, where he notched three quality starts out of four tries. With Houston in a 3-7 rut over their last 10 games, this is exactly the time where they call on their ace to be the stopper. Although there are many avenues to explore for betting on this matchup, I'm looking at one that I haven't touched at all this season.

The NRFI (no-run first inning) blew up last season, quickly becoming one of the most popular bets in the entire sport. What's not to love? It's exciting and extremely quick, so you don't have to sit around for three hours to see if your bet hits. Doing a little digging, Valdez is off to a solid start this year in the first inning. Out of his seven outings, he's only surrendered a run twice. In the other dugout, Shohei Ohtani has given up a first-inning run in three of his seven starts. Regardless of what people say, this is an extremely hard bet to quantify. It's more of a feel than anything. Data isn't necessarily reliable, but what we have tells us there is a good chance two stud pitchers can throw up a couple of goose eggs.

MLB Best Bet for Astros vs Angels

  • No Run First Inning -130

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