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MLB Plays for June 3, 2023

MLB Player Props Today Padres vs Cubs

MLB Best Bets for Yankees at Dodgers

  • Yankees to win moneyline (-120, BetMGM)

MLB Plays for the Braves vs Arizona Piece for June 3, 2023

Fernando Tatis o1.5 total bases (-105),

Fernando Tatis is off to a slow start to 2023, with a .253 batting average and a career-worst .222 ISO through is first 37 games played. However, his struggles have come primarily against right-handed pitching. Facing southpaws, Tatis owns a .297 batting average, 1.042 OPS, .378 ISO, and a 181 wRC+ – meaning that he has been 81% more productive than the league-average hitter in these situations. Tonight, Tatis gets to face Drew Smyly, who owns a 3.93 FIP against right-handed batters this year. Expect Tatis to have a productive day at the dish.

Ryne Nelson u4.5 strikeouts (-172)

In 11 starts this season, Ryne Nelson has eclipsed this market number once. Though the Atlanta Braves have a reputation for being an extremely high strikeout team, they rank 15th out of 30 clubs in strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching since May 15. Nelson’s strikeout percentage is below 20 percent against both right- and left-handed batters this season. There is very little reason to expect Nelson to record five punch-outs on Saturday night.

Matt Olson 3+ total bases (+165)

This is a complete fade of Ryne Nelson. In 2023, Nelson owns a dreadful 6.67 FIP, 10.4% strikeout rate, and a .337 opponent batting average against left-handed batters. This year, Matt Olson has posted a 1.014 OPS, .363 ISO, and a 167 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, meaning that he has been 67% better than the league-average hitter in these situations. Expect a big day from him in an extremely favorable matchup against inferior pitching.

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