Klay Thompson Under 28.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds
This may seem like an odd bet to make, as Thompson is known for his scoring prowess, but there are good reasons to take this under. Firstly, OddsShopper has identified a market discrepancy, with some sportsbooks setting the line at under 26.5. That gives bettors an edge with the under on 28.5. Additionally, Thompson is coming off an injury and has played limited minutes in recent games. In his last two games, he has only played 19 and 22 minutes, making it unlikely that he will have enough time on the court to rack up significant stats.
Furthermore, with the Warriors being a well-balanced team, there are plenty of other players who can step up and contribute offensively. Stephen Curry and Draymond Green are obviously capable of taking over a game, so it is not necessary for Thompson to put up big numbers for the Warriors to win. All of these factors make the under 28.5 line a solid pick for this parlay.
Kelly Olynyk Under 4.5 Assists
Olynyk is primarily a scoring and rebounding big man, not a playmaker. He has only averaged 2.2 assists per game over his career, so the line of 4.5 is already a bit high for him. Furthermore, with the absence of fellow big man Lauri Markkanen, Olynyk will likely have an increased role in scoring and rebounding. This means that he will likely be focused on shooting rather than distributing the ball to his teammates. All of these factors make the under 4.5 line a solid pick for this parlay.
The Rockets have been one of the worst teams in the league this season, but there are reasons to believe that they can keep the game close in the first half. Houston has been playing better recently and have been competitive in losing efforts, losing by 10 or less in four of their last five losses.
Jrue Holiday o17.5 points (-120), DraftKings
Per CourtIQ, when Khris Middleton is off of the floor this season, Jrue Holiday is averaging 21.0 points per 36 minutes of action. Per props.cash, Holiday has eclipsed this market number in 17 of his last 31 games played with Middleton on the sidelines, with seven games of at least 25 points. Tonight, he gets a favorable matchup against a Utah Jazz defense that has struggled to defend opposing guards in recent weeks. In the last two weeks alone, they have allowed 37 points to De’Aaron Fox, 24 points to Jimmy Butler, and 25 points to Markelle Fultz. Overall, the Jazz rank 21st in defensive efficiency across the last 30 days. Trust Holiday to get the job done in this spot.
Klay Thompson o3.5 three-pointers made (-108), FanDuel
According to props.cash, Klay Thompson has eclipsed this market number in 19 of his 32 games played at home this season. Playing at home, Thompson is averaging 24.8 points, 4.8 three-pointers made, 11.4 three-point attempts, and is shooting 41.8% from beyond-the-arc. On the road, he is averaging only 18.6 points, 3.7 three-pointers made, 9.4 three-point attempts, and is shooting 38.9% from beyond-the-arc. On Friday, Thompson gets a relatively favorable matchup against a Philadelphia 76ers team that has struggled in recent weeks to defend the perimeter, ranking 15th in opponent three-point attempts and 10th in opponent three-point percentage. Thompson is likely to have high volume this evening from the perimeter, making this a worthwhile risk for bettors.
Anthony Davis o26.5 points (-120), FanDuel
Entering play, Anthony Davis has eclipsed this market number in 17 of his last 30 games played. Tonight, he gets a favorable matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder, which have experienced difficulties defending opposing forwards as of late. According to props.cash, nine of the last 13 forwards to have a points prop released against the Thunder have hit the over. Across the last month of action, Oklahoma City ranks 19th in opponent field goal percentage in the restricted area, 19th in opponent field goal percentage in the paint, and 30th in opponent field goal percentage in the mid-range. These three areas of the floor are where Davis attempts the vast majority of his shot attempts. Expect him to be aggressive in this contest as the Los Angeles Lakers fight for a playoff spot – take the over.