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NBA Picks Today - Best NBA Bets for Wednesday, Jan. 11

Best Bets

Rudy Gobert over 13.5 rebounds (-110) at Detroit

The Pistons -- without Isaiah Stewart, Marvin Bagley and Jalen Duren -- are expected to start Nerlens Noel at center again and are essentially without a backup five. Last night, against the 76ers, the Pistons allowed Joel Embiid to grab 11 boards in 24 minutes before the game got out of hand and was ultimately a 147-116 loss. I expect Gobert to have a monster night on the boards, and the game, in theory, should be closer.

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Harrison Barnes O1.5 made three-pointers vs. Houston Rockets

This has been a strange first half for Barnes, who got off to a rough start but is now essentially back to putting up the same numbers he's produced for the better part of the last decade. His season-long three-point percentage is still down (33.9%), but over the last 12 games, he's sitting at 41.5 percent from deep. Barnes has gone over this number in five straight games, hitting 17-of-35 attempts during that run. Over the last 10 games, Houston is the NBA's 25th-ranked defense, allowing a league-high 42.5 three-point attempts per game.


Bobby Portis Over 8.5 Rebounds (-124) at Atlanta

Portis has been a force on the boards over the last several weeks, and he had a stretch with six consecutive double-doubles that was snapped Monday against the Knicks when he was limited to 10 points and three rebounds in the win. However, the Knicks have one of the top frontcourts in the league, while the Hawks are one of the worst teams in the league at limiting rebounds to opposing power forwards and centers. Despite Monday's lackluster performance, he has a good chance to bounce back against Atlanta.


Milwaukee Bucks (-2.5) at Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks are 4-9 without Clint Capela and 16-23-1 against the spread this season. Atlanta is at home and has won two of its past three contests, but I see the Hawks' lack of frontcourt depth as a major problem against Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, and Bobby Portis.



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