top of page

NFL Picks: NFL Best Bets and Player Props for Week 12 at FanDuel Sportsbook

NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 12

DJ Moore OVER 44.5 Receiving Yards

This one seems a bit obvious but I'm guessing the oddsmakers couldn't put the line much higher since Moore hasn't had more than 29 receiving yards in any of his last three games. The switch to Darnold only can help Moore, who has some monster games with him last season. Moore had 73 or more receiving yards in six of his first seven games last season with Darnold surpassing 100 yards twice during that span. I also like his alternative receiving yard line of 80+ yards which you can get at +430.

Foster Moreau OVER 33.5 Receiving Yards

Moreau has hit this over in two of his last three games and there are a couple of reasons beyond that to like his this week. Last week he finished with only 33 receiving yards but got below four targets for the first time since Week 1 in that game. One would think he'll get at least four this week especially considering both the Raider's narrow passing tree and that the Seahawks rank 31st in defending tight ends.

Brandon Aiyuk OVER 53.5 Receiving Yards

Aiyuk's yardage total should rebound from only 20 yards last Monday night and when you score two touchdowns, it can limit your yardage. Aiyuk went over this mark in his previous five contests and his four targets Monday were a five-game low suggesting an increase in that number. A home matchup with the Saints is good with New Orleans being below league-average against opposing wide receivers and Marshon Lattimore should be rusty if he ends up playing (he's expected to).


Anytime Touchdown Props for NFL Week 12

Edwards is expected to return to the field Sunday and has two touchdowns in two games this season. While that's not a huge sample, Gus should handle the goal line work over Kenyan Drake who should be the third-down/change of pace back. Jacksonville is a good matchup as they've allowed just under a rushing touchdown per game and ranks in the bottom half of the league against opposing running backs.

The Dolphins have one of the highest point totals this weekend and therefore they're probably a good team to target for anytime touchdowns. Jeff Wilson (sans Raheem Mostert) has the best touchdown odds of the weekend (-220) but I try and stay away from odds like that. Instead, Gesicki seems like a better option at these odds. He isn't getting a ton of targets as of late but has four touchdowns this season showing he's not forgotten in the red zone.

Brown should be back on the field for time in weeks as it appears he'll be activated of IR for Sunday's game. While Brown could be on a snap count, he has three goals in six games this season suggesting these are good odds. We have also yet to see Brown play opposite DeAndre Hopkins and one would expect Brown to see softer coverage as a result as opposed to the other team's top corner.

 
 
 

Comments


bottom of page