NFL Week 18 Bets
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills -7
If I'm being honest, I've probably been on the wrong side of the Bills most of the season picking against the spread. However, there's some revenge factor here considering the Patriots used to blow out the Bills in late-season games. I also think the Bills will be playing inspired football (if there's such a thing) given the events from last Monday night. I would also look into some alternative spreads here as I think the Bills could easily win this game by three or more touchdowns.
Dallas Cowboys -7 at Washington Commanders
This is still a divisional game and I feel like Washington is going to want to end the season on a high note. The running back situation for Washington is a bit worrisome but at least they're fresh.
Player Prop Bets for Week 18
Diontae Johnson over 51.5 receiving yards, -114 (FanDuel)
Johnson caught only two passes last week (despite seven targets), but prior to that he had covered this total in four straight games, and he's logged no fewer than seven targets in any of his last half-dozen games. He also had an 8-catch, 81-yard performance vs. the Browns earlier this year. Seems better than a 50/50 proposition that Johnson can reach the mid-50's in the Steelers biggest game of the year.
Tyler Boyd over 29.5 receiving yards, -114 (FanDuel)
Boyd is the clear third wheel among the Bengals receivers, but he also benefits from Chase and Higgins drawing the bulk of the coverage. Boyd has covered this number in 11-of-15 games this year, while the Ravens defense ranks 24th in passing yards allowed.
Anytime Touchdown Props
Christian McCaffrey -150
Usually, I hate laying odds like this but I think this is actually a bargain. San Francisco has something to play for and they're a 14-point favorite at home. McCaffrey has touchdowns in (checks notes for the third time) five straight games and it's tough to not see him making it six.
I have to think there's probably a rushing touchdown involved. Washington is down to these two for running backs and only one of them needs to score to profit off of this. As always, there's a chance both score (which would be gravy) and Patterson had some success late last season.
Desmond Ridder +330
I thought the Falcons would use Ridder more as a runner when he was named the starter but he's still more mobile than your average NFL quarterback. The Falcons are favorites in this game and I have to think if there's a first and goal scenario they'll just call Ridder's number.
Tee Higgins anytime touchdown, +175 (FanDuel)
Higgins has scored a touchdown in each of the last four games he's played in, while QB Joe Burrow ranks second in the league in TD passes. Clear value here, especially compared to the price on Ja'Marr Chase, which is listed much lower at +105 odds (Chase has eight touchdowns, Higgins has seven touchdowns).